Jessica Pegula vs Maria Sakkari — Adelaide Round of 16

Adelaide · WTA · Round of 16
USA
Jessica Pegula
[1]
#5WTA
2103ELO
2061Hard ELO
$2.6MYTD
$24MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 6 January 2025
hard
GRE
Maria Sakkari
#49WTA
1829ELO
1805Hard ELO
$669kYTD
$14MCAREER
30 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLLLW

Jessica Pegula defeated Maria Sakkari 6-4 6-1 in the Adelaide round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #5, leading the head-to-head 6–5, defending last year's semi-final. Jessica Pegula extended the head-to-head to 7–5.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Pegula J.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 63 days (−1.2)
Sakkari M.
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.2+256 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.8Hard Elo 1805
8.4Overall Elo 2103
ELO gap
1.6Overall Elo 1829
6.6
H2H
3.4
4.4
Surface form
6.2
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.4
Prev. match
9.0
6.3
Country comfort
5.3
Context
8.5
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Pegula J.
662
Sakkari M.
410

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
1.12
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 58%

Head to head

6–5
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-07-27MontrealR64hardJessica Pegula7-5 6-4
2023-10-30Cancun FinalsRRhardJessica Pegula6-3 6-2
2023-09-25TokyoSFhardJessica Pegula6-2 6-3
2023-07-31WashingtonSFhardMaria Sakkari6-3 4-6 6-2
2023-02-13DohaSFhardJessica Pegula6-2 4-6 6-1
2022-10-31Fort Worth FinalsRRhardMaria Sakkari7-6(6) 7-6(4)
2022-10-17Guadalajara 2FhardJessica Pegula6-2 6-3
2022-02-21DohaR16hardMaria Sakkari6-4 7-5
2022-01-17Australian OpenR16hardJessica Pegula7-6(0) 6-3
2021-03-22MiamiR16hardMaria Sakkari6-4 2-6 7-6(6)
2019-06-24EastbourneR64grassMaria Sakkari6-2 6-1
View full head-to-head →

Statistics

Recent form
Pegula J.Sakkari M.
64%1st serve in+1%65%
71%1st serve points won+10%61%
52%2nd serve points won+5%47%
64%Service points won+8%56%
44%Return points won+2%42%
64%Break points saved+4%60%
5Aces / match+2.72.3
1.8Double faults / match+0.11.9

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw

Final
Keys M.
Pegula J.[1]
6-34-66-1
Semi-finals
Keys M.
Samsonova L.
5-77-53-0
Pegula J.[1]
Putintseva Y.
7-646-3
Quarter-finals
Keys M.
Kasatkina D.[3]
6-16-3
Putintseva Y.
Shnaider D.[6]
7-636-796-4
Pegula J.[1]
Krueger A.
6-42-0
Samsonova L.
Navarro E.[2]
6-46-4
R16
Kasatkina D.[3]
Jones E.
7-56-3
Keys M.
Ostapenko J.[8]
3-66-46-3
Samsonova L.
Bencic B.
7-634-66-4
Shnaider D.[6]
Vondrousova M.
4-61-1
Pegula J.[1]
Sakkari M.
6-46-1
Krueger A.
Badosa P.[5]
7-646-746-2
Putintseva Y.
Jabeur O.
6-26-4
Navarro E.[2]
Alexandrova E.
7-646-4
R32
Krueger A.
Kostyuk M.
4-66-26-2
Sakkari M.
Noskova L.
6-36-3
Bencic B.
Kalinskaya A.[7]
6-21-0
Putintseva Y.
Vekic D.
6-26-3
Vondrousova M.
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-46-746-2
Keys M.
Haddad Maia B.
6-26-1
Badosa P.[5]
Stearns P.
6-756-37-5
Jabeur O.
Collins D.[4]
7-666-2
Alexandrova E.
Fernandez L.
6-43-66-2
Jones E.
Wang X.
6-46-0
Kasatkina D.[3]
Gadecki O.
6-26-3
Ostapenko J.[8]
Frech M.
4-66-16-1
Samsonova L.
Bouzkova M.
1-66-46-1
Shnaider D.[6]
Siniakova K.
6-30-66-0