Marta Kostyuk vs Daria Kasatkina — Montreal Round of 32

Montreal · WTA · Round of 32
Marta Kostyuk
UKR24
Marta Kostyuk
#13WTA
2057ELO
1968Hard ELO
$2.3MYTD
$9.1MCAREER
24 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 27 July 2025
hard
Daria Kasatkina
AUS15
Daria Kasatkina
#65WTA
1795ELO
1757Hard ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
Kostyuk M.
3-6 6-3 7-6
Kasatkina D.
Kostyuk M.
36772
Kasatkina D.
63641

Marta Kostyuk defeated Daria Kasatkina 3-6 6-3 7-6 in the Montreal round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Marta Kostyuk came in ranked #13. Marta Kostyuk narrowed the head-to-head to 4–4.

Key context

Head to head

3–4
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-06RomeR64clayMarta Kostyuk6-4 6-2
2024-06-17BerlinR32grassDaria Kasatkina4-6 7-6(6) 6-3
2024-01-01BrisbaneR32hardDaria Kasatkina6-3 6-4
2023-09-25TokyoR32hardDaria Kasatkina3-6 6-4 6-3
2021-06-14BirminghamR16grassDaria Kasatkina6-2 7-5
2021-04-19IstanbulR16clayMarta Kostyuk6-3 7-5
2020-08-31US OpenR128hardMarta Kostyuk6-1 6-2
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Kostyuk M.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Kasatkina D.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Kostyuk M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kostyuk M.Kasatkina D.
53
Serve
0
57
Return
95

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Kostyuk M.Kasatkina D.
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
59%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
42%
Service points won·Slight edge
59%
54%
Return points won·Even
46%
48%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
52%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.1
1.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
5.2
5.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (62 vs 55). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Kostyuk M.Kasatkina D.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
92
78
Break points saved·Clear edge
93
80
Break points won·Even
98
100
Deciding sets·Slight edge
98
93
Tiebreaks·Dominant
86
47

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Kostyuk M.
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Kasatkina D.
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 27 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
7.4+210 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.6Hard Elo 1757
7.7Overall Elo 2057
ELO gap
2.3Overall Elo 1795
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.1
Surface form
4.6
0.0Lost last 5
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.9
Minutes 14d
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Surface transition
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Kostyuk M.Kasatkina D.
Freshness·Clear edge
69
90

Kostyuk M.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 57 games (7d) · Kasatkina D.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
25°CDrizzle
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 76%

Draw

Final
Mboko V.
Osaka N.
2-66-46-1
Semi-finals
Osaka N.
Tauson C.[16]
6-27-67
Mboko V.
Rybakina E.[9]
1-67-57-64
Quarter-finals
Rybakina E.[9]
Kostyuk M.[24]
6-12-1
Tauson C.[16]
Keys M.[6]
6-16-4
Mboko V.
Bouzas Maneiro J.
6-46-2
Osaka N.
Svitolina E.[10]
6-26-2
R16
Keys M.[6]
Muchova K.[11]
4-66-37-5
Mboko V.
Gauff C.[1]
6-16-4
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Zhu L.
7-51-66-2
Tauson C.[16]
Swiatek I.[2]
7-616-3
Osaka N.
Sevastova A.
6-16-0
Svitolina E.[10]
Anisimova A.[5]
6-46-1
Kostyuk M.[24]
Kessler M.[28]
5-76-36-3
Rybakina E.[9]
Yastremska D.[30]
5-76-27-5
R32
Zhu L.
Lamens S.
6-26-2
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Ito A.
4-67-56-3
Yastremska D.[30]
Navarro E.[8]
7-56-4
Muchova K.[11]
Bencic B.[17]
6-726-26-3
Kostyuk M.[24]
Kasatkina D.[15]
3-66-37-64
Swiatek I.[2]
Lys E.
6-26-2
Tauson C.[16]
Starodubtseva Y.
6-36-0
Sevastova A.
Pegula J.[3]
3-66-46-1
Svitolina E.[10]
Kalinskaya A.
6-16-1
Mboko V.
Bouzkova M.
1-66-36-0
Keys M.[6]
Mcnally C.
2-66-36-3
Anisimova A.[5]
Raducanu E.
6-26-1
Gauff C.[1]
Kudermetova V.
4-67-56-2
Osaka N.
Ostapenko J.[22]
6-26-4
Kessler M.[28]
Andreeva M.[4]
7-656-4
Rybakina E.[9]
Cristian J.
6-07-65
R64
Navarro E.[8]
Marino R.
6-16-2
Mcnally C.
Sramkova R.[31]
6-26-2
Muchova K.[11]
Ruzic A.
7-57-5
Raducanu E.
Stearns P.[32]
6-26-4
Sevastova A.
Linette M.[25]
6-34-66-4
Andreeva M.[4]
Andreescu B.
W/O
Kudermetova V.
Danilovic O.[29]
6-46-2
Swiatek I.[2]
Guo H.
6-36-1
Gauff C.[1]
Collins D.
7-54-67-62
Ostapenko J.[22]
Zarazua R.
6-24-66-2
Ito A.
Paolini J.[7]
2-67-57-65
Rybakina E.[9]
Baptiste H.
6-46-3
Zhu L.
Alexandrova E.[12]
1-66-26-4
Kessler M.[28]
Joint M.
4-66-46-3
Cristian J.
Noskova L.[20]
6-36-4
Kasatkina D.[15]
Blinkova A.
6-16-4
Kostyuk M.[24]
Vondrousova M.
2-66-36-2
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Krueger A.[26]
6-46-4
Lamens S.
Haddad Maia B.[18]
6-21-66-3
Bouzkova M.
Shnaider D.[14]
6-27-65
Mboko V.
Kenin S.[23]
6-26-3
Lys E.
Pavlyuchenkova A.[27]
6-36-4
Starodubtseva Y.
Frech M.[21]
6-16-1
Tauson C.[16]
Bronzetti L.
6-16-2
Bencic B.[17]
Bouchard E.
6-23-66-4
Keys M.[6]
Siegemund L.
6-26-1
Pegula J.[3]
Sakkari M.
7-56-4
Osaka N.
Samsonova L.[13]
4-67-666-3
Svitolina E.[10]
Rakhimova K.
7-56-2
Kalinskaya A.
Mertens E.[19]
1-67-646-2
Anisimova A.[5]
Sun L.
6-47-65
Yastremska D.[30]
Osorio C.
3-67-656-2
R128
Zhu L.
Gracheva V.
6-47-63
Marino R.
Jacquemot E.
7-626-1
Sun L.
Cirstea S.
6-37-5
Raducanu E.
Ruse E.
6-26-4
Kalinskaya A.
Li A.
7-660-66-3
Rakhimova K.
Cross K.
4-66-36-2
Osaka N.
Arseneault A.
6-46-2
Andreescu B.
Krejcikova B.
6-36-4
Starodubtseva Y.
Wang Y.
6-766-46-4
Zarazua R.
Boulter K.
6-17-5
Lamens S.
Kudermetova P.
6-34-66-2
Mcnally C.
Parks A.
6-45-77-67
Joint M.
Fernandez L.
6-46-1
Ruzic A.
Potapova A.
2-67-56-0
Osorio C.
Pera B.
6-37-5
Sevastova A.
Tomljanovic A.
6-33-66-4
Sakkari M.
Branstine C.
6-23-67-5
Siegemund L.
Maria T.
7-56-767-62
Bouchard E.
Arango E.
6-42-66-2
Bronzetti L.
Mandlik E.
4-67-656-2
Lys E.
Jeanjean L.
6-16-4
Cristian J.
Stakusic M.
2-66-26-2
Baptiste H.
Osuigwe W.
7-56-1
Blinkova A.
Dolehide C.
6-46-1
Vondrousova M.
Eala A.
3-66-16-2
Ito A.
Volynets K.
6-22-66-2
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Chirico L.
5-77-56-4
Bouzkova M.
Uchijima M.
6-27-64
Mboko V.
Birrell K.
7-56-3
Kudermetova V.
Bucsa C.
5-76-27-5
Collins D.
Tomova V.
6-37-5
Guo H.
Putintseva Y.
6-36-3