Marta Kostyuk vs Daria KasatkinaRome Round of 64

Rome · WTA · Round of 64
#13WTA
2057ELO
1992Clay ELO
$2.3MYTD
$9.1MCAREER
24 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 6 May 2025
clay
#65WTA
1795ELO
1770Clay ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
Kostyuk M.
6-4 6-2
Kasatkina D.
Kostyuk M.
662
Kasatkina D.
420

Marta Kostyuk defeated Daria Kasatkina 6-4 6-2 in the Rome round of 64 on clay. The result followed the form book — Marta Kostyuk came in ranked #13, defending last year's round of 64. Marta Kostyuk narrowed the head-to-head to 4–4.

Key context

Head to head

34
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-07-27MontrealR32hardMarta Kostyuk3-6 6-3 7-6(4)
2024-06-17BerlinR32grassDaria Kasatkina4-6 7-6(6) 6-3
2024-01-01BrisbaneR32hardDaria Kasatkina6-3 6-4
2023-09-25TokyoR32hardDaria Kasatkina3-6 6-4 6-3
2021-06-14BirminghamR16grassDaria Kasatkina6-2 7-5
2021-04-19IstanbulR16clayMarta Kostyuk6-3 7-5
2020-08-31US OpenR128hardMarta Kostyuk6-1 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Kostyuk M.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Kasatkina D.serving55% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Kostyuk M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Kostyuk M.Kasatkina D.
61
Serve
100
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
59%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
42%
Service points won·Slight edge
59%
54%
Return points won·Even
46%
48%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
53%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.1
1.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
5.2
5.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (62 vs 55). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
92
78
Break points saved·Clear edge
93
80
Break points won·Even
98
100
Deciding sets·Slight edge
98
93
Tiebreaks·Dominant
86
47

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.3+223 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.7Clay Elo 1770
7.7Overall Elo 2057
ELO gap
2.3Overall Elo 1795
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.5
Surface form
5.7
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.7
Minutes 14d
8.1
4.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Country comfort
5.6
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
69
90

Kostyuk M.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 57 games (7d) · Kasatkina D.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
19°CRain
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 76%

Draw