Daniil Medvedev vs Reilly OpelkaWashington Round of 32

Washington · ATP · Round of 32
#9ATP
1977ELO
1962Hard ELO
$2.5MYTD
$52MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 21 July 2025
hard
#115ATP
1749ELO
1734Hard ELO
$325kYTD
$6.0MCAREER
28 yrs · 211 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWLW
Medvedev D.
3-6 7-5 6-1
Opelka R.
Medvedev D.
3762
Opelka R.
6511

Daniil Medvedev defeated Reilly Opelka 3-6 7-5 6-1 in the Washington round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Daniil Medvedev came in ranked #9, leading the head-to-head 4–2. Daniil Medvedev extended the head-to-head to 5–2.

Key context

Head to head

42
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-09s HertogenboschQFgrassReilly Opelka7-6(5) 7-6(5)
2021-08-09Canada MastersFhardDaniil Medvedev6-4 6-3
2021-05-31Roland GarrosR32clayDaniil Medvedev6-4 6-2 6-4
2020-10-12St PetersburgR16hardReilly Opelka2-6 7-5 6-4
2019-03-18Miami MastersR32hardDaniil Medvedev7-6(5) 6-7(5) 7-6(0)
2017-07-31WashingtonR64hardDaniil Medvedev6-7(8) 6-3 7-6(6)

Serve vs return

This season
Medvedev D.serving96% hold

wins 77% of points on serve vs Opelka R.

Opelka R.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Medvedev D.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Medvedev D.Opelka R.
47
Serve
86
94
Return
0

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
79%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
52%
Service points won·Even
66%
69%
Return points won·Clear edge
40%
28%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
73%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.9
16.9
Double faults / match·Even
4.1
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (90 vs 67). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
96
63
Break points saved·Even
100
100
Break points won·Dominant
99
1
Deciding sets·Slight edge
99
88
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
99
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.9+229 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.1Hard Elo 1734
7.9Overall Elo 1977
ELO gap
2.1Overall Elo 1749
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.8
Surface form
5.2
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.3
Country comfort
6.7
7.0
Surface transition
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
85

Medvedev D.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
27°CDrizzle
Wind 0 km/hHumidity 65%