
Reilly Opelka defeated Daniil Medvedev 2-6 7-5 6-4 in the St Petersburg round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Daniil Medvedev came in ranked #9, leading the head-to-head 5–1. Reilly Opelka narrowed the head-to-head to 5–2.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-21 | Washington | R32 | hard | Daniil Medvedev | 3-6 7-5 6-1 |
| 2025-06-09 | s Hertogenbosch | QF | grass | Reilly Opelka | 7-6(5) 7-6(5) |
| 2021-08-09 | Canada Masters | F | hard | Daniil Medvedev | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2021-05-31 | Roland Garros | R32 | clay | Daniil Medvedev | 6-4 6-2 6-4 |
| 2019-03-18 | Miami Masters | R32 | hard | Daniil Medvedev | 7-6(5) 6-7(5) 7-6(0) |
| 2017-07-31 | Washington | R64 | hard | Daniil Medvedev | 6-7(8) 6-3 7-6(6) |
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (190 vs 198). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Medvedev D.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About