Daniil Medvedev vs Reilly OpelkaCanada Masters Final

Canada Masters · ATP · Final
#8ATP
1977ELO
1962Hard ELO
$2.5MYTD
$52MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 9 August 2021
hard
#131ATP
1749ELO
1734Hard ELO
$325kYTD
$6.0MCAREER
28 yrs · 211 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWLW
Medvedev D.
6-4 6-3
Opelka R.
Medvedev D.
662
Opelka R.
430

Daniil Medvedev defeated Reilly Opelka 6-4 6-3 in the Canada Masters final on hard. The result followed the form book — Daniil Medvedev came in ranked #8, leading the head-to-head 4–2. Daniil Medvedev extended the head-to-head to 5–2.

Key context

Head to head

42
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-07-21WashingtonR32hardDaniil Medvedev3-6 7-5 6-1
2025-06-09s HertogenboschQFgrassReilly Opelka7-6(5) 7-6(5)
2021-05-31Roland GarrosR32clayDaniil Medvedev6-4 6-2 6-4
2020-10-12St PetersburgR16hardReilly Opelka2-6 7-5 6-4
2019-03-18Miami MastersR32hardDaniil Medvedev7-6(5) 6-7(5) 7-6(0)
2017-07-31WashingtonR64hardDaniil Medvedev6-7(8) 6-3 7-6(6)

Serve vs return

This season
Medvedev D.serving95% hold

wins 75% of points on serve vs Opelka R.

Opelka R.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Medvedev D.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Medvedev D.Opelka R.
47
Serve
86
94
Return
0

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
79%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
65%
70%
Return points won·Slight edge
40%
29%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
71%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.6
17.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.5
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (198 vs 170). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
96
63
Break points saved·Even
100
100
Break points won·Dominant
99
1
Deciding sets·Slight edge
99
88
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
99
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.9+229 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.1Hard Elo 1734
7.9Overall Elo 1977
ELO gap
2.1Overall Elo 1749
4.6
H2H
5.4
7.9
Surface form
3.2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
5.4
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
87

Medvedev D.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
29°CMainly clear
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 67%