Amanda Anisimova vs Aryna SabalenkaWimbledon Semi-final

Wimbledon · WTA · Semi-final
#6WTA
1914ELO
1768Grass ELO
$1.2MYTD
$14MCAREER
24 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 30 June 2025
grass
#1WTA
2220ELO
1987Grass ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Anisimova A.
6-4 4-6 6-4
Sabalenka A.
Anisimova A.
6462
Sabalenka A.
4641

Amanda Anisimova defeated Aryna Sabalenka 6-4 4-6 6-4 in the Wimbledon semi-final on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1. Amanda Anisimova extended the head-to-head to 6–5.

Key context

  • Match story: Amanda Anisimova edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 4–6 6–4.

Head to head

55
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-11-01Riyadh FinalsSFhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 3-6 6-3
2025-08-25US OpenFhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 7-6(3)
2025-05-26Roland GarrosR16clayAryna Sabalenka7-5 6-3
2024-08-05TorontoQFhardAmanda Anisimova6-4 6-2
2024-01-15Australian OpenR16hardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-2
2022-05-09RomeQFclayAryna Sabalenka4-6 6-3 6-2
2022-04-28MadridR64clayAmanda Anisimova6-2 3-6 6-4
2022-04-04CharlestonR16clayAmanda Anisimova3-6 6-4 6-3
2019-05-27Roland GarrosR64clayAmanda Anisimova6-4 6-2
2019-01-14Australian OpenR32hardAmanda Anisimova6-3 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Anisimova A.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Sabalenka A.serving85% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Anisimova A.

Serve advantage — Sabalenka A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
52%
Service points won·Even
59%
63%
Return points won·Even
46%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
65%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.4
4.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.0
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (75 vs 90). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
96
98
Break points saved·Even
95
98
Break points won·Even
99
100
Deciding sets·Even
95
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
94
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.5Grass Elo 1768
Surface ELO
6.5+219 Grass Elo edge
2.4Overall Elo 1914
ELO gap
7.6Overall Elo 2220
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.6
Surface form
6.8
Fatigue & Travel
7.5
Minutes 14d
6.5
7.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Country comfort
6.3
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
87
88

Anisimova A.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Sabalenka A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
29°CPartly cloudy
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 43%

Draw

Semi-finals
Anisimova A.[6]
Sabalenka A.[1]
6-44-66-4
Swiatek I.[3]
Bencic B.[11]
6-26-0
R128
Tomova V.
Jabeur O.
7-652-0
Sasnovich A.[15]
Gracheva V.
6-46-757-68
Volynets K.[5]
Maria T.
3-67-646-1
Kudermetova V.
Zhu L.[30]
6-36-2
Krueger A.
Stojsavljevic M.
6-36-2
Shnaider D.[15]
Uchijima M.[8]
7-656-3
Bronzetti L.[20]
Teichmann J.[24]
6-47-5
Lamens S.[27]
Jovic I.[16]
6-16-1
Tauson C.[24]
Watson H.
2-66-46-3
Galfi D.[10]
Dart H.
3-66-37-5
Swiatek I.[3]
Kudermetova P.
7-56-1
Andreeva M.[5]
Sherif M.[21]
6-36-3
Bouzkova M.[21]
Sun L.[9]
6-46-4
Krejcikova B.[17]
Eala A.[29]
3-66-26-1
Paolini J.[13]
Sevastova A.
2-66-36-2
Svitolina E.[8]
Bondar A.
6-36-1
Kalinskaya A.[19]
Stojanovic N.
6-37-64
Cocciaretto E.
Pegula J.[4]
6-26-3
Anisimova A.[6]
Putintseva Y.
6-06-0
Navarro E.[23]
Kvitova P.
6-36-1
Raducanu E.[30]
Xu M.
6-36-3
Yastremska D.
Gauff C.[7]
7-636-1
Erjavec V.
Kostyuk M.[12]
3-66-36-4
Rybakina E.[2]
Avanesyan E.
6-26-1
Keys M.[26]
Ruse E.
6-747-57-5
Noskova L.[9]
Pera B.
6-26-4
Osaka N.[14]
Gibson T.
6-47-64
Siniakova K.[32]
Zheng Q.[5]
7-54-66-1
Fernandez L.[22]
Klugman H.
6-16-3
Sakkari M.
Blinkova A.
6-46-4
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Seidel E.
6-33-2
Mboko V.
Frech M.[25]
6-36-2
Mcnally C.
Burrage J.
6-36-1
Danilovic O.
Zhang S.
6-26-4
Rakhimova K.
Ito A.
5-76-36-2
Starodubtseva Y.
Jones F.
1-66-36-1
Kasatkina D.[16]
Arango E.
7-56-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Branstine C.
6-17-5
Dolehide C.
Rus A.
6-26-2
Zakharova A.
Azarenka V.
6-22-66-1
Samsonova L.[19]
Joint M.
6-36-2
Sierra S.
Gadecki O.
6-27-68
Vondrousova M.
Kessler M.[32]
6-17-63
Mertens E.[25]
Fruhvirtova L.
6-46-2
Li A.[28]
Golubic V.
6-34-66-1
Boulter K.
Badosa P.[9]
6-23-66-4
Bucsa C.
Todoni A.
6-46-4
Vekic D.[31]
Birrell K.
6-06-4
Siegemund L.
Stearns P.
6-46-2
Lys E.
Yuan Y.[17]
6-45-76-2
Haddad Maia B.[21]
Sramkova R.[16]
7-676-4
Zarazua R.
Wickmayer Y.
6-06-3
Parry D.
Martic P.
4-66-36-2
Kartal S.
Ostapenko J.[20]
7-52-66-2
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Tomljanovic A.
4-66-36-2
Baptiste H.
Cirstea S.[17]
6-706-16-2
Wang X.
Muchova K.[10]
7-56-2
Sonmez Z.
Cristian J.
7-636-3
Alexandrova E.[18]
Hon P.
6-27-5
Jacquemot E.
Linette M.[27]
6-776-16-4
Bencic B.[11]
Parks A.
6-06-3
Collins D.
Osorio C.
6-36-2
Begu I.
Juvan K.
7-661-66-3
Kenin S.[28]
Townsend T.
7-656-2