Amanda Anisimova vs Aryna SabalenkaMadrid Round of 64

Madrid · WTA · Round of 64
#9WTA
1914ELO
1751Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$14MCAREER
24 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 28 April 2022
clay
#1WTA
2220ELO
2103Clay ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Anisimova A.
6-2 3-6 6-4
Sabalenka A.
Anisimova A.
6362
Sabalenka A.
2641

Amanda Anisimova defeated Aryna Sabalenka 6-2 3-6 6-4 in the Madrid round of 64 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, defending the title, but Amanda Anisimova had arrived on a 4-match winning run. Amanda Anisimova extended the head-to-head to 6–5.

Key context

Head to head

55
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-11-01Riyadh FinalsSFhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 3-6 6-3
2025-08-25US OpenFhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 7-6(3)
2025-06-30WimbledonSFgrassAmanda Anisimova6-4 4-6 6-4
2025-05-26Roland GarrosR16clayAryna Sabalenka7-5 6-3
2024-08-05TorontoQFhardAmanda Anisimova6-4 6-2
2024-01-15Australian OpenR16hardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-2
2022-05-09RomeQFclayAryna Sabalenka4-6 6-3 6-2
2022-04-04CharlestonR16clayAmanda Anisimova3-6 6-4 6-3
2019-05-27Roland GarrosR64clayAmanda Anisimova6-4 6-2
2019-01-14Australian OpenR32hardAmanda Anisimova6-3 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Anisimova A.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Sabalenka A.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Anisimova A.

Serve advantage — Sabalenka A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
51%
Service points won·Even
59%
63%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
63%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.2
4.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.1
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (166 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
96
98
Break points saved·Even
95
98
Break points won·Even
99
100
Deciding sets·Even
95
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
94
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 24 days (−0.3)
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.5Clay Elo 1751
Surface ELO
8.5+352 Clay Elo edge
2.4Overall Elo 1914
ELO gap
7.6Overall Elo 2220
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.7
Surface form
6.4
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
6.0
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
89
90

Anisimova A.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Sabalenka A.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
13°CDrizzle
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 75%

Draw