Amanda Anisimova vs Aryna SabalenkaToronto Quarter-final

Toronto · WTA · Quarter-final
#6WTA
1914ELO
1880Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$14MCAREER
24 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 5 August 2024
hard
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Anisimova A.
6-4 6-2
Sabalenka A.
Anisimova A.
662
Sabalenka A.
420

Amanda Anisimova defeated Aryna Sabalenka 6-4 6-2 in the Toronto quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, but Amanda Anisimova had arrived on a 3-match winning run. Amanda Anisimova extended the head-to-head to 6–5.

Key context

Head to head

55
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-11-01Riyadh FinalsSFhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 3-6 6-3
2025-08-25US OpenFhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 7-6(3)
2025-06-30WimbledonSFgrassAmanda Anisimova6-4 4-6 6-4
2025-05-26Roland GarrosR16clayAryna Sabalenka7-5 6-3
2024-01-15Australian OpenR16hardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-2
2022-05-09RomeQFclayAryna Sabalenka4-6 6-3 6-2
2022-04-28MadridR64clayAmanda Anisimova6-2 3-6 6-4
2022-04-04CharlestonR16clayAmanda Anisimova3-6 6-4 6-3
2019-05-27Roland GarrosR64clayAmanda Anisimova6-4 6-2
2019-01-14Australian OpenR32hardAmanda Anisimova6-3 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Anisimova A.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Sabalenka A.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Anisimova A.

Serve advantage — Sabalenka A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Anisimova A.Sabalenka A.
51
Serve
96
72
Return
39

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
51%
Service points won·Even
59%
63%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
64%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.5
4.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.3
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (110 vs 165). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
96
98
Break points saved·Even
95
98
Break points won·Even
99
100
Deciding sets·Even
95
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
94
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
7.9
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.2Hard Elo 1880
Surface ELO
7.8+322 Hard Elo edge
2.4Overall Elo 1914
ELO gap
7.6Overall Elo 2220
0.0
H2H
10.0
8.2
Surface form
6.0
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Minutes 14d
6.0
7.0
3-set count
4.0
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
87
88

Anisimova A.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Sabalenka A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
24°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 78%

Draw