Ashlyn Krueger vs Maria TimofeevaBad Homburg Qualifying Round 1

Bad Homburg · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
#66WTA
1791ELO
1717Grass ELO
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 22 June 2025
grass
#79WTA
1696ELO
1435Grass ELO
22 yrs · 167 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
Krueger A.
3-6 7-5 6-3
Timofeeva M.
Krueger A.
3762
Timofeeva M.
6531

Ashlyn Krueger defeated Maria Timofeeva 3-6 7-5 6-3 in the Bad Homburg qualifying round 1 on grass. The result followed the form book — Ashlyn Krueger came in ranked #66.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Krueger A.serving53% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Timofeeva M.

Timofeeva M.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Krueger A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
47%
Service points won·Even
57%
56%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
48%
Break points saved·Even
55%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.4
1.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.2
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (71 vs 90). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
79
54
Break points saved·Slight edge
87
76
Break points won·Slight edge
85
96
Deciding sets·Dominant
92
59
Tiebreaks·Dominant
66
20

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
7.3+282 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.7Grass Elo 1435
6.6Overall Elo 1791
ELO gap
3.4Overall Elo 1696
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.5
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Minutes 14d
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
Surface transition
3.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
90
96

Krueger A.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d) · Timofeeva M.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About