Ajla Tomljanovic vs Sorana CirsteaBad Homburg Qualifying Round 1

Bad Homburg · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
#94WTA
1745ELO
1683Grass ELO
33 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWL
0 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 22 June 2025
grass
#18WTA
1957ELO
1689Grass ELO
$1.5MYTD
$12MCAREER
36 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWWW
Tomljanovic A.
6-2 6-3
Cirstea S.
Tomljanovic A.
662
Cirstea S.
23

Ajla Tomljanovic defeated Sorana Cirstea 6-2 6-3 in the Bad Homburg qualifying round 1 on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Sorana Cirstea came in ranked #18, leading the head-to-head 2–0. Ajla Tomljanovic claimed a first win over Sorana Cirstea in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-27Hong KongR16hardSorana Cirstea4-6 6-4 6-3
2022-03-07Indian WellsR64hardSorana Cirstea6-4 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Tomljanovic A.serving63% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Cirstea S.

Cirstea S.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Tomljanovic A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
43%
51%
Service points won·Even
57%
61%
Return points won·Even
44%
44%
Break points saved·Even
55%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.6
4.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
6.1
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (70 vs 77). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
71
85
Break points saved·Clear edge
73
86
Break points won·Even
92
92
Deciding sets·Slight edge
75
85
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
78
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
3.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 61 days (−1.2)
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
5.1Grass Elo 1683
Surface ELO
4.9+6 Grass Elo edge
2.9Overall Elo 1745
ELO gap
7.1Overall Elo 1957
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.6
Surface form
3.2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
8.6
Minutes 14d
0.0
3-set count
Surface transition
3.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
97
88

Tomljanovic A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Cirstea S.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About