Victoria Azarenka vs Veronika KudermetovaBad Homburg Qualifying Round 2

Bad Homburg · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 2
#433WTA
1875ELO
1720Grass ELO
36 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 22 June 2025
grass
#115WTA
1836ELO
1710Grass ELO
29 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLLLWW
Azarenka V.
6-7 6-3 6-4
Kudermetova V.
Azarenka V.
64662
Kudermetova V.
77341

Victoria Azarenka defeated Veronika Kudermetova 6-7 6-3 6-4 in the Bad Homburg qualifying round 2 on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Veronika Kudermetova came in ranked #115, leading the head-to-head 2–1. Victoria Azarenka narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-09-18GuadalajaraR16hardVictoria Azarenka6-2 6-1
2023-01-09Adelaide 2R32hardVeronika Kudermetova2-6 7-6(4) 6-4
2022-02-14DubaiR32hardVeronika Kudermetova6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Azarenka V.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Kudermetova V.

Kudermetova V.serving68% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Azarenka V.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
42%
47%
Service points won·Even
56%
60%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Even
53%
52%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.1
4.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.0
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 58). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
91
85
Break points saved·Slight edge
94
85
Break points won·Clear edge
99
85
Deciding sets·Slight edge
96
91
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
77
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 27 days (−0.3)
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.1+10 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.9Grass Elo 1710
5.5Overall Elo 1875
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1836
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.1
Surface form
5.6
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
7.1
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
3.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.