Victoria Azarenka vs Caty McnallyBad Homburg Qualifying Round 1

Bad Homburg · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
#449WTA
1875ELO
1720Grass ELO
36 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 22 June 2025
grass
#57WTA
1817ELO
1707Grass ELO
$711kYTD
$3.7MCAREER
24 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWLWW
Azarenka V.
4-6 6-2 6-0
Mcnally C.
Azarenka V.
4662
Mcnally C.
6201

Victoria Azarenka defeated Caty Mcnally 4-6 6-2 6-0 in the Bad Homburg qualifying round 1 on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Caty Mcnally came in ranked #57.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Azarenka V.serving54% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Mcnally C.

Mcnally C.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Azarenka V.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
71%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
46%
Service points won·Even
56%
57%
Return points won·Even
44%
47%
Break points saved·Even
56%
56%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.1
1.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.4
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 77). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
91
73
Break points saved·Clear edge
94
73
Break points won·Even
99
99
Deciding sets·Clear edge
96
74
Tiebreaks·Even
77
78

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 27 days (−0.3)
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 27 days (−0.3)
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
5.3+13 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Grass Elo 1707
5.9Overall Elo 1875
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1817
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.1
Surface form
4.6
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
96

Mcnally C.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About