Anna Kalinskaya vs Jessica PegulaStrasbourg Round of 16

Strasbourg · WTA · Round of 16
#20WTA
1907ELO
1804Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$7.0MCAREER
27 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 18 May 2025
clay
#4WTA
2097ELO
1941Clay ELO
$2.8MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
Kalinskaya A.
4-6 6-4 6-2
Pegula J.
Kalinskaya A.
4662
Pegula J.
6421

Anna Kalinskaya defeated Jessica Pegula 4-6 6-4 6-2 in the Strasbourg round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #4, leading the head-to-head 4–0. Anna Kalinskaya claimed a first win over Jessica Pegula in five meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 4–1.

Key context

Head to head

04
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-04BrisbaneR32hardJessica Pegula6-2 2-6 6-4
2025-03-18MiamiR32hardJessica Pegula6-7(3) 6-2 7-6(2)
2024-06-17BerlinFgrassJessica Pegula6-7(0) 6-4 7-6(3)
2019-07-29WashingtonSFhardJessica Pegula6-3 3-6 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Kalinskaya A.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Pegula J.

Pegula J.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Kalinskaya A.

Serve advantage — Pegula J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Kalinskaya A.Pegula J.
Serve
67
Return
22

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
51%
Service points won·Even
58%
62%
Return points won·Even
42%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
54%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.1
3.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.4
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (61 vs 96). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
88
96
Break points saved·Slight edge
88
96
Break points won·Even
97
99
Deciding sets·Slight edge
89
100
Tiebreaks·Even
98
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.6Clay Elo 1804
Surface ELO
7.4+137 Clay Elo edge
2.4Overall Elo 1907
ELO gap
7.6Overall Elo 2097
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.9
Surface form
6.5
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.3
Minutes 14d
8.3
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
84
72

Kalinskaya A.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Pegula J.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast