Jessica Pegula vs Anna KalinskayaBerlin Final

Berlin · WTA · Final
#3WTA
2097ELO
1903Grass ELO
$2.8MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 17 June 2024
grass
#20WTA
1907ELO
1724Grass ELO
$1.2MYTD
$7.0MCAREER
27 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLWWW
Pegula J.
6-7 6-4 7-6
Kalinskaya A.
Pegula J.
606772
Kalinskaya A.
774631

Jessica Pegula defeated Anna Kalinskaya 6-7 6-4 7-6 in the Berlin final on grass. The result followed the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 3–1. Jessica Pegula extended the head-to-head to 4–1.

Key context

Head to head

31
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-04BrisbaneR32hardJessica Pegula6-2 2-6 6-4
2025-05-18StrasbourgR16clayAnna Kalinskaya4-6 6-4 6-2
2025-03-18MiamiR32hardJessica Pegula6-7(3) 6-2 7-6(2)
2019-07-29WashingtonSFhardJessica Pegula6-3 3-6 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Pegula J.serving85% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Kalinskaya A.

Kalinskaya A.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Pegula J.

Serve advantage — Pegula J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
49%
Service points won·Even
61%
59%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Even
59%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.1
1.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.2
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (151 vs 118). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
96
88
Break points saved·Slight edge
96
88
Break points won·Even
99
97
Deciding sets·Slight edge
100
89
Tiebreaks·Even
96
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
6.9+180 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.1Grass Elo 1724
7.6Overall Elo 2097
ELO gap
2.4Overall Elo 1907
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.8
Surface form
2.5
Fatigue & Travel
7.8
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
6.0
Prev. match
Surface transition
3.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
79
89

Pegula J.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d) · Kalinskaya A.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
20°CDrizzle
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 63%