Jack Draper vs Tommy PaulMadrid Masters Round of 16

Madrid Masters · ATP · Round of 16
#75ATP
1908ELO
1789Clay ELO
$305kYTD
$8.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 23 April 2025
clay
USA
[11]
#21ATP
1935ELO
1880Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$14MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW

Jack Draper defeated Tommy Paul 6-2 6-2 in the Madrid Masters round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Tommy Paul came in ranked #21, defending last year's round of 32. Jack Draper extended the head-to-head to 4–2.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 23 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
4.0Clay Elo 1789
Surface ELO
6.0+90 Clay Elo edge
4.7Overall Elo 1908
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1935
5.0
H2H
5.0
3.8
Surface form
6.9
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Draper J.
662
Paul T.
220

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
0.84
SlowFast
Weather
15°CClear
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 59%

Head to head

32
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-06-17Queen's ClubQFgrassTommy Paul6-3 5-7 6-4
2024-02-26AcapulcoR32hardJack Draper6-0 6-4
2024-01-15Australian OpenR64hardTommy Paul6-2 3-6 6-3 7-5
2024-01-08AdelaideQFhardJack Draper6-1 6-4
2023-01-09Adelaide 2R16hardJack Draper6-4 6-4

Statistics

Recent form
63%1st serve in+1%64%
78%1st serve points won+2%76%
52%2nd serve points won+1%53%
69%Service points won+1%68%
36%Return points won+1%37%
61%Break points saved61%
9.1Aces / match+1.67.5
2.9Double faults / match+1.21.7

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw