Jack Draper vs Tommy Paul — Adelaide Quarter-final

Adelaide · ATP · Quarter-final
Jack Draper
GBR
Jack Draper
#131ATP
1822ELO
1783Hard ELO
$305kYTD
$8.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 8 January 2024
hard
Tommy Paul
USA1
Tommy Paul
#25ATP
1949ELO
1881Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Draper J.
6-1 6-4
Paul T.
Draper J.
662
Paul T.
140

Jack Draper defeated Tommy Paul 6-1 6-4 in the Adelaide quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Tommy Paul came in ranked #25. Jack Draper extended the head-to-head to 4–2.

Key context

Head to head

3–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-23Madrid MastersR16clayJack Draper6-2 6-2
2024-06-17Queen's ClubQFgrassTommy Paul6-3 5-7 6-4
2024-02-26AcapulcoR32hardJack Draper6-0 6-4
2024-01-15Australian OpenR64hardTommy Paul6-2 3-6 6-3 7-5
2023-01-09Adelaide 2R16hardJack Draper6-4 6-4
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Draper J.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Paul T.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Draper J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Draper J.Paul T.
—
Serve
71
—
Return
54

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Draper J.Paul T.
1st serve in·Even
61%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
54%
Service points won·Even
67%
66%
Return points won·Even
38%
40%
Break points saved·Even
61%
65%
Aces / match·Clear edge
8.3
6.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.9
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (107 vs 130). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Draper J.Paul T.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
88
93
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Even
83
87
Deciding sets·Even
96
98
Tiebreaks·Even
95
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Draper J.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 46 days (−0.7)
Paul T.
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 70 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
5.0Hard Elo 1783
Surface ELO
5.0+99 Hard Elo edge
4.7Overall Elo 1822
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1949
10.0
H2H
0.0
7.6
Surface form
5.7
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Country comfort
6.2
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Draper J.Paul T.
Freshness·Clear edge
100
86

Draper J.: 16 days rest · Paul T.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 62%
Final
Lehecka J.[7]
Draper J.
4-66-46-3
Semi-finals
Lehecka J.[7]
Korda S.[3]
6-26-1
Draper J.
Bublik A.[8]
7-626-4
Quarter-finals
Draper J.
Paul T.[1]
6-16-4
Korda S.[3]
Oconnell C.
6-46-4
Lehecka J.[7]
Jarry N.[2]
6-47-5
Bublik A.[8]
Musetti L.[4]
6-36-747-5
R16
Korda S.[3]
Sonego L.
6-47-610
Jarry N.[2]
Arnaldi M.
6-757-676-4
Paul T.[1]
Bolt A.
6-36-2
Draper J.
Kecmanovic M.
5-77-697-67
Lehecka J.[7]
Lajovic D.
7-54-66-3
Oconnell C.
Shevchenko A.
6-36-1
Musetti L.[4]
Thompson J.
6-46-1
Bublik A.[8]
Evans D.
4-66-26-1
R32
Evans D.
Hijikata R.
6-36-4
Shevchenko A.
Etcheverry T.[6]
7-644-67-5
Oconnell C.
Rinderknech A.
6-46-4
Thompson J.
Diaz Acosta F.
6-26-2
Bolt A.
Seyboth Wild T.
6-36-2
Kecmanovic M.
Mcdonald M.
6-46-2
Draper J.
Baez S.[5]
6-16-3
Sonego L.
Hanfmann Y.
7-52-67-69
Lajovic D.
Kokkinakis T.
3-66-16-4
Arnaldi M.
Zapata Miralles B.
6-46-3
Bublik A.[8]
Mccabe J.
6-26-3
Lehecka J.[7]
Walton A.
6-16-3