Tommy Paul vs Jack DraperQueen's Club Quarter-final

Queen's Club · ATP · Quarter-final
#25ATP
1949ELO
1801Grass ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 17 June 2024
grass
#131ATP
1822ELO
1704Grass ELO
$305kYTD
$8.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLLWWW
Paul T.
6-3 5-7 6-4
Draper J.
Paul T.
6562
Draper J.
3741

Tommy Paul defeated Jack Draper 6-3 5-7 6-4 in the Queen's Club quarter-final on grass. The result followed the form book — Tommy Paul came in ranked #25, defending last year's round of 32. Tommy Paul narrowed the head-to-head to 4–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Tommy Paul closed it out in three sets, 6–3 5–7 6–4.

Head to head

14
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-23Madrid MastersR16clayJack Draper6-2 6-2
2024-02-26AcapulcoR32hardJack Draper6-0 6-4
2024-01-15Australian OpenR64hardTommy Paul6-2 3-6 6-3 7-5
2024-01-08AdelaideQFhardJack Draper6-1 6-4
2023-01-09Adelaide 2R16hardJack Draper6-4 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Paul T.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Draper J.

Draper J.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
77%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
52%
Service points won·Even
66%
67%
Return points won·Even
40%
38%
Break points saved·Even
65%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.0
8.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.9
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (130 vs 107). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
93
88
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Even
87
83
Deciding sets·Even
98
96
Tiebreaks·Even
96
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.3+97 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Grass Elo 1704
5.3Overall Elo 1949
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1822
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.3
Surface form
8.5
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.1
Minutes 14d
4.7
7.0
3-set count
0.0
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Country comfort
6.2
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
86
100

Paul T.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Draper J.: 16 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
19°CMainly clear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 48%