Holger Rune vs Sebastian Baez — Barcelona Round of 16

Barcelona · ATP · Round of 16
Holger Rune
DEN6
Holger Rune
#77ATP
1757ELO
1729Clay ELO
$0YTD
$16MCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 14 April 2025
clay
Sebastian Baez
ARG
Sebastian Baez
#57ATP
1759ELO
1718Clay ELO
$924kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Rune H.
4-6 6-1 6-2
Baez S.
Rune H.
4662
Baez S.
6121

Holger Rune defeated Sebastian Baez 4-6 6-1 6-2 in the Barcelona round of 16 on clay. Holger Rune extended the head-to-head to 4–2.

Key context

Head to head

3–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-01Shanghai MastersR64hardHolger Rune7-5 6-4
2024-05-06Rome MastersR32claySebastian Baez2-6 6-2 6-3
2023-10-23BaselR16hardHolger Rune7-6(2) 6-1
2022-02-07Buenos AiresR32claySebastian Baez7-6(4) 6-3
2021-03-08SantiagoR32clayHolger Rune6-3 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Rune H.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Baez S.

Baez S.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Rune H.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Rune H.Baez S.
—
Serve
1
—
Return
44

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Rune H.Baez S.
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
72%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
65%
60%
Return points won·Even
37%
41%
Break points saved·Even
63%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.3
1.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.9
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (51 vs 79). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Rune H.Baez S.
Clutch Rating·Even
91
87
Break points saved·Even
99
96
Break points won·Even
84
86
Deciding sets·Slight edge
98
88
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
99
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Rune H.
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Baez S.
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.6+11 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.4Clay Elo 1718
5.5Overall Elo 1757
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1759
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.1
Surface form
6.6
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
4.2
3-set count
0.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Rune H.Baez S.
Freshness·
—
94

Baez S.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
18°CMainly clear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 72%
Final
Rune H.[6]
Alcaraz C.[1]
7-666-2
Semi-finals
Alcaraz C.[1]
Fils A.[7]
6-26-4
Rune H.[6]
Khachanov K.
6-36-2
Quarter-finals
Alcaraz C.[1]
De Minaur A.[5]
7-56-3
Khachanov K.
Davidovich Fokina A.
6-47-5
Fils A.[7]
Tsitsipas S.[3]
2-0
Rune H.[6]
Ruud C.[2]
6-46-2
R16
Tsitsipas S.[3]
Korda S.
7-646-4
De Minaur A.[5]
Fearnley J.
6-16-2
Ruud C.[2]
Medjedovic H.
7-57-5
Alcaraz C.[1]
Djere L.
6-26-4
Rune H.[6]
Baez S.
4-66-16-2
Davidovich Fokina A.
Rublev A.[4]
7-56-4
Khachanov K.
Munar J.
7-56-4
Fils A.[7]
Martinez P.
6-36-2
R32
Rublev A.[4]
De Jong J.
6-16-3
Alcaraz C.[1]
Quinn E.
6-27-66
Djere L.
Rinderknech A.
6-726-16-2
Munar J.
Tiafoe F.[9]
2-67-56-1
Rune H.[6]
Ramos A.
7-56-4
Baez S.
Dzumhur D.
6-17-5
Ruud C.[2]
Galan D.
6-46-3
Medjedovic H.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
7-57-66
Davidovich Fokina A.
Wawrinka S.
6-16-4
Khachanov K.
Norrie C.
6-736-46-3
Fils A.[7]
Carreno Busta P.
7-666-3
Martinez P.
Nakashima B.
7-55-76-4
Tsitsipas S.[3]
Opelka R.
6-26-2
De Minaur A.[5]
Etcheverry T.
6-46-4
Fearnley J.
Carballes Baena R.
6-17-5
Korda S.
Arnaldi M.
3-66-36-2