Holger Rune vs Sebastian BaezSantiago Round of 32

Santiago · ATP · Round of 32
#77ATP
1757ELO
1729Clay ELO
$0YTD
$16MCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 8 March 2021
clay
#57ATP
1759ELO
1718Clay ELO
$924kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Rune H.
6-3 6-2
Baez S.
Rune H.
662
Baez S.
320

Holger Rune defeated Sebastian Baez 6-3 6-2 in the Santiago round of 32 on clay. The result followed the form book — Holger Rune came in leading the head-to-head 3–2. Holger Rune extended the head-to-head to 4–2.

Key context

Head to head

32
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-01Shanghai MastersR64hardHolger Rune7-5 6-4
2025-04-14BarcelonaR16clayHolger Rune4-6 6-1 6-2
2024-05-06Rome MastersR32claySebastian Baez2-6 6-2 6-3
2023-10-23BaselR16hardHolger Rune7-6(2) 6-1
2022-02-07Buenos AiresR32claySebastian Baez7-6(4) 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Rune H.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Baez S.

Baez S.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Rune H.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Rune H.Baez S.
Serve
1
Return
44

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
72%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
66%
60%
Return points won·Even
36%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.9
2.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.2
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
91
87
Break points saved·Even
99
96
Break points won·Even
84
86
Deciding sets·Slight edge
98
88
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
99
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
94

Baez S.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 26%