Sebastian Baez vs Holger Rune — Rome Masters Round of 32

Rome Masters · ATP · Round of 32
Sebastian Baez
ARG17
Sebastian Baez
#57ATP
1759ELO
1718Clay ELO
$924kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 6 May 2024
clay
Holger Rune
DEN10
Holger Rune
#77ATP
1757ELO
1729Clay ELO
$0YTD
$16MCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
Baez S.
2-6 6-2 6-3
Rune H.
Baez S.
2662
Rune H.
6231

Sebastian Baez defeated Holger Rune 2-6 6-2 6-3 in the Rome Masters round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Holger Rune came in leading the head-to-head 4–1, defending last year's final. Sebastian Baez narrowed the head-to-head to 4–2.

Key context

Head to head

1–4
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-01Shanghai MastersR64hardHolger Rune7-5 6-4
2025-04-14BarcelonaR16clayHolger Rune4-6 6-1 6-2
2023-10-23BaselR16hardHolger Rune7-6(2) 6-1
2022-02-07Buenos AiresR32claySebastian Baez7-6(4) 6-3
2021-03-08SantiagoR32clayHolger Rune6-3 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Baez S.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Rune H.

Rune H.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Baez S.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Baez S.Rune H.
1
Serve
—
44
Return
—

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Baez S.Rune H.
1st serve in·Slight edge
72%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
66%
Return points won·Even
40%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.0
6.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.8
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (138 vs 120). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Baez S.Rune H.
Clutch Rating·Even
87
91
Break points saved·Even
96
99
Break points won·Even
86
84
Deciding sets·Slight edge
88
98
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
83
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Baez S.
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Rune H.
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.4Clay Elo 1718
Surface ELO
5.6+11 Clay Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1759
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1757
10.0
H2H
0.0
5.5
Surface form
6.7
Fatigue & Travel
7.6
Minutes 14d
6.9
7.0
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Baez S.Rune H.
Freshness·
95
—

Baez S.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 56%
Final
Zverev A.[3]
Jarry N.[21]
6-47-5
Semi-finals
Zverev A.[3]
Tabilo A.[29]
1-67-646-2
Jarry N.[21]
Paul T.[14]
6-36-736-3
Quarter-finals
Paul T.[14]
Hurkacz H.[7]
7-53-66-3
Jarry N.[21]
Tsitsipas S.[6]
3-67-56-4
Tabilo A.[29]
Zhang Z.
6-36-4
Zverev A.[3]
Fritz T.[11]
6-46-3
R16
Tabilo A.[29]
Khachanov K.[16]
7-657-610
Hurkacz H.[7]
Baez S.[17]
5-77-646-4
Jarry N.[21]
Muller A.
7-56-3
Zhang Z.
Monteiro T.
7-646-3
Zverev A.[3]
Borges N.
6-27-5
Fritz T.[11]
Dimitrov G.[8]
6-26-7116-1
Tsitsipas S.[6]
De Minaur A.[9]
6-16-2
Paul T.[14]
Medvedev D.[2]
6-16-4
R32
Tabilo A.[29]
Djokovic N.[1]
6-26-3
Monteiro T.
Kecmanovic M.
6-24-67-66
Khachanov K.[16]
Cerundolo F.[20]
6-26-4
Zhang Z.
Shelton B.[12]
6-26-4
Zverev A.[3]
Darderi L.
7-636-2
Fritz T.[11]
Korda S.[24]
6-36-4
Dimitrov G.[8]
Atmane T.
7-636-3
Tsitsipas S.[6]
Norrie C.[27]
6-27-61
De Minaur A.[9]
Auger Aliassime F.[18]
6-726-46-4
Jarry N.[21]
Napolitano S.
6-24-66-4
Muller A.
Rublev A.[4]
3-66-36-2
Hurkacz H.[7]
Etcheverry T.[25]
7-676-2
Baez S.[17]
Rune H.[10]
2-66-26-3
Paul T.[14]
Koepfer D.
6-46-3
Medvedev D.[2]
Medjedovic H.
7-652-67-5
Borges N.
Passaro F.
4-67-687-64
R64
Djokovic N.[1]
Moutet C.
6-36-1
Tabilo A.[29]
Hanfmann Y.
6-37-64
Khachanov K.[16]
Shevchenko A.
6-46-4
Atmane T.
Musetti L.[26]
7-51-0
Dimitrov G.[8]
Nishioka Y.
7-56-4
Norrie C.[27]
Munar J.
6-31-66-3
De Minaur A.[9]
Carballes Baena R.
6-36-2
Jarry N.[21]
Arnaldi M.
6-27-66
Muller A.
Fils A.[31]
7-56-3
Baez S.[17]
Lajovic D.
7-637-66
Hurkacz H.[7]
Nadal R.
6-16-3
Napolitano S.
Shang J.
6-736-16-0
Tsitsipas S.[6]
Struff J.
6-716-46-4
Shelton B.[12]
Kotov P.
4-66-36-4
Monteiro T.
Thompson J.[32]
6-16-3
Kecmanovic M.
Ruud C.[5]
0-66-46-4
Zverev A.[3]
Vukic A.
6-06-4
Darderi L.
Navone M.[28]
6-36-2
Passaro F.
Griekspoor T.[23]
4-66-37-65
Borges N.
Bublik A.[15]
6-46-4
Fritz T.[11]
Fognini F.
6-36-4
Korda S.[24]
Cobolli F.
7-664-66-4
Auger Aliassime F.[18]
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-17-66
Rublev A.[4]
Giron M.
5-76-47-5
Etcheverry T.[25]
Seyboth Wild T.
6-37-5
Rune H.[10]
Nardi L.
6-46-4
Paul T.[14]
Karatsev A.
6-46-2
Koepfer D.
Tiafoe F.[22]
6-46-2
Medjedovic H.
Davidovich Fokina A.[30]
7-646-4
Medvedev D.[2]
Draper J.
7-56-4
Cerundolo F.[20]
Gigante M.
6-16-3
Zhang Z.
Mannarino A.[19]
6-16-3
R128
Kotov P.
Michelsen A.
6-16-1
Zhang Z.
Galan D.
6-27-5
Cobolli F.
Marterer M.
6-46-2
Atmane T.
Eubanks C.
6-46-4
Nishioka Y.
Ofner S.
6-32-67-64
Carballes Baena R.
Oconnell C.
6-775-0
Struff J.
Cachin P.
6-46-4
Borges N.
Martinez P.
6-736-47-68
Medjedovic H.
Popyrin A.
6-36-2
Nardi L.
Altmaier D.
6-46-4
Moutet C.
Safiullin R.
3-67-616-2
Hanfmann Y.
Mensik J.
6-36-2
Gigante M.
Zeppieri G.
7-626-4
Shevchenko A.
Marozsan F.
6-36-2
Monteiro T.
Monfils G.
6-27-5
Kecmanovic M.
Nakashima B.
6-46-4
Darderi L.
Shapovalov D.
6-746-37-64
Passaro F.
Rinderknech A.
6-737-57-67
Fognini F.
Evans D.
6-43-66-2
Van De Zandschulp B.
Moreno De Alboran N.
7-56-757-64
Napolitano S.
Wolf J.
6-27-63
Arnaldi M.
Mayot H.
3-67-56-4
Muller A.
Fucsovics M.
4-67-656-2
Giron M.
Ruusuvuori E.
3-66-36-3
Nadal R.
Bergs Z.
4-66-36-4
Lajovic D.
Sonego L.
6-36-756-3
Karatsev A.
Mcdonald M.
4-66-36-4
Koepfer D.
Vavassori A.
6-46-3
Draper J.
Coric B.
7-56-1
Munar J.
Hijikata R.
6-47-5
Seyboth Wild T.
Barrere G.
6-46-2
Vukic A.
Schwartzman D.
6-26-2