Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti — Monte Carlo Masters Final

Monte Carlo Masters · ATP · Final
Carlos Alcaraz
ESP2
Carlos Alcaraz
#3ATP
2162ELO
2102Clay ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 7 April 2025
clay
Lorenzo Musetti
ITA13
Lorenzo Musetti
#14ATP
1869ELO
1853Clay ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
Alcaraz C.
3-6 6-1 6-0
Musetti L.
Alcaraz C.
3662
Musetti L.
6101

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Lorenzo Musetti 3-6 6-1 6-0 in the Monte Carlo Masters final on clay. The result followed the form book — Carlos Alcaraz came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 6–1. Carlos Alcaraz extended the head-to-head to 7–1.

Key context

Head to head

6–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-11-09Tour FinalsRRhardCarlos Alcaraz6-4 6-1
2025-05-26Roland GarrosSFclayCarlos Alcaraz4-6 7-6(3) 6-0 2-0 RET
2025-05-07Rome MastersSFclayCarlos Alcaraz6-3 7-6(4)
2024-03-18Miami MastersR16hardCarlos Alcaraz6-3 6-3
2023-09-27BeijingR16hardCarlos Alcaraz6-2 6-2
2023-05-29Roland GarrosR16clayCarlos Alcaraz6-3 6-2 6-2
2022-07-18HamburgFclayLorenzo Musetti6-4 6-7(6) 6-4
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Alcaraz C.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Musetti L.

Musetti L.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Alcaraz C.

Serve advantage — Alcaraz C.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Alcaraz C.Musetti L.
—
Serve
34
—
Return
—

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Alcaraz C.Musetti L.
1st serve in·Even
65%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
57%
55%
Service points won·Even
68%
66%
Return points won·Even
42%
39%
Break points saved·Even
66%
63%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.6
4.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (103 vs 80). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Alcaraz C.Musetti L.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
98
89
Break points saved·Even
100
98
Break points won·Clear edge
99
82
Deciding sets·Even
100
99
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
100
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Alcaraz C.
7.9
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Musetti L.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.3+249 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.7Clay Elo 1853
8.8Overall Elo 2162
ELO gap
1.2Overall Elo 1869
5.4
H2H
4.6
8.9
Surface form
7.3
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
15°COvercast
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 46%
Final
Alcaraz C.[2]
Musetti L.[13]
3-66-16-0
Semi-finals
Musetti L.[13]
De Minaur A.[8]
1-66-47-64
Alcaraz C.[2]
Davidovich Fokina A.
7-626-4
Quarter-finals
De Minaur A.[8]
Dimitrov G.[15]
6-06-0
Davidovich Fokina A.
Popyrin A.
6-36-2
Alcaraz C.[2]
Fils A.[12]
4-67-56-3
Musetti L.[13]
Tsitsipas S.[6]
1-66-36-4
R16
Musetti L.[13]
Berrettini M.
6-36-3
Alcaraz C.[2]
Altmaier D.
6-36-1
Fils A.[12]
Rublev A.[7]
6-26-3
Tsitsipas S.[6]
Borges N.
6-16-1
Davidovich Fokina A.
Draper J.[5]
6-36-766-4
Popyrin A.
Ruud C.[4]
6-43-67-5
Dimitrov G.[15]
Tabilo A.
6-33-66-2
De Minaur A.[8]
Medvedev D.[9]
6-26-2
R32
Borges N.
Martinez P.
7-56-746-4
Altmaier D.
Gasquet R.
7-55-76-2
Popyrin A.
Tiafoe F.[14]
3-66-36-3
Alcaraz C.[2]
Cerundolo F.
3-66-06-1
Tsitsipas S.[6]
Thompson J.
4-66-46-2
De Minaur A.[8]
Machac T.
3-66-06-3
Musetti L.[13]
Lehecka J.
1-67-56-2
Tabilo A.
Djokovic N.[3]
6-36-4
Davidovich Fokina A.
Etcheverry T.
7-626-3
Ruud C.[4]
Bautista Agut R.
6-26-1
Fils A.[12]
Cobolli F.
6-26-4
Dimitrov G.[15]
Vacherot V.
4-66-36-1
Medvedev D.[9]
Muller A.
7-665-76-2
Berrettini M.
Zverev A.[1]
2-66-37-5
Rublev A.[7]
Monfils G.
6-47-62
Draper J.[5]
Giron M.
6-16-1
R64
Vacherot V.
Struff J.
6-26-1
Borges N.
Rune H.[10]
6-23-0
Medvedev D.[9]
Khachanov K.
7-54-66-4
Cobolli F.
Lajovic D.
6-46-2
Cerundolo F.
Fognini F.
6-06-3
Giron M.
Shapovalov D.
6-37-65
Musetti L.[13]
Yunchaokete B.
4-67-56-3
Lehecka J.
Korda S.
6-37-67
Berrettini M.
Navone M.
6-46-4
Thompson J.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
6-46-3
Martinez P.
Sonego L.
6-41-66-2
Tabilo A.
Wawrinka S.
1-67-57-5
Dimitrov G.[15]
Jarry N.
6-36-4
Muller A.
Ugo Carabelli C.
6-46-4
Machac T.
Baez S.
3-66-36-2
Etcheverry T.
Moutet C.
4-66-16-4
Davidovich Fokina A.
Shelton B.[11]
6-726-26-1
Tiafoe F.[14]
Kecmanovic M.
6-25-77-65
Popyrin A.
Humbert U.
3-67-626-4
Bautista Agut R.
Nakashima B.
6-26-4
Monfils G.
Marozsan F.
4-66-16-1
Fils A.[12]
Griekspoor T.
6-736-46-2
Altmaier D.
Auger Aliassime F.[16]
7-656-3
Gasquet R.
Arnaldi M.
6-34-66-4