Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti — Miami Masters Round of 16

Miami Masters · ATP · Round of 16
Carlos Alcaraz
ESP1
Carlos Alcaraz
#2ATP
2162ELO
2088Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 18 March 2024
hard
Lorenzo Musetti
ITA23
Lorenzo Musetti
#15ATP
1869ELO
1804Hard ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
Alcaraz C.
6-3 6-3
Musetti L.
Alcaraz C.
662
Musetti L.
330

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Lorenzo Musetti 6-3 6-3 in the Miami Masters round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Carlos Alcaraz came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 6–1, defending last year's semi-final. Carlos Alcaraz extended the head-to-head to 7–1.

Key context

Head to head

6–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-11-09Tour FinalsRRhardCarlos Alcaraz6-4 6-1
2025-05-26Roland GarrosSFclayCarlos Alcaraz4-6 7-6(3) 6-0 2-0 RET
2025-05-07Rome MastersSFclayCarlos Alcaraz6-3 7-6(4)
2025-04-07Monte Carlo MastersFclayCarlos Alcaraz3-6 6-1 6-0
2023-09-27BeijingR16hardCarlos Alcaraz6-2 6-2
2023-05-29Roland GarrosR16clayCarlos Alcaraz6-3 6-2 6-2
2022-07-18HamburgFclayLorenzo Musetti6-4 6-7(6) 6-4
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Alcaraz C.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Musetti L.

Musetti L.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Alcaraz C.

Serve advantage — Alcaraz C.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Alcaraz C.Musetti L.
74
Serve
54
95
Return
62

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Alcaraz C.Musetti L.
1st serve in·Even
65%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
57%
54%
Service points won·Even
68%
65%
Return points won·Even
42%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.2
4.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (170 vs 155). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Alcaraz C.Musetti L.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
98
89
Break points saved·Even
100
98
Break points won·Clear edge
99
82
Deciding sets·Even
100
99
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
100
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Alcaraz C.
9.1
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Musetti L.
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.7+285 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.3Hard Elo 1804
8.8Overall Elo 2162
ELO gap
1.2Overall Elo 1869
10.0
H2H
0.0
9.2
Surface form
3.2
9.06-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.0
Minutes 14d
7.6
4.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
7.0
Country comfort
Context
8.5
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
30°CDrizzle
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 61%
Final
Sinner J.[2]
Dimitrov G.[11]
6-36-1
Semi-finals
Dimitrov G.[11]
Zverev A.[4]
6-46-746-4
Sinner J.[2]
Medvedev D.[3]
6-16-2
Quarter-finals
Medvedev D.[3]
Jarry N.[22]
6-27-67
Dimitrov G.[11]
Alcaraz C.[1]
6-26-4
Sinner J.[2]
Machac T.
6-46-2
Zverev A.[4]
Marozsan F.
6-37-5
R16
Alcaraz C.[1]
Musetti L.[23]
6-36-3
Dimitrov G.[11]
Hurkacz H.[8]
3-66-37-63
Medvedev D.[3]
Koepfer D.
7-656-0
Marozsan F.
De Minaur A.[9]
6-40-66-1
Jarry N.[22]
Ruud C.[7]
7-636-3
Machac T.
Arnaldi M.
6-36-3
Sinner J.[2]
Oconnell C.
6-46-3
Zverev A.[4]
Khachanov K.[15]
6-16-4
R32
Alcaraz C.[1]
Monfils G.
6-26-4
Oconnell C.
Damm M.
7-657-65
Koepfer D.
Humbert U.[14]
3-66-46-3
Machac T.
Murray A.
5-77-57-65
Dimitrov G.[11]
Hanfmann Y.
6-16-0
Zverev A.[4]
Eubanks C.[31]
7-646-3
Khachanov K.[15]
Cerundolo F.[20]
6-15-77-65
De Minaur A.[9]
Struff J.[24]
7-636-4
Marozsan F.
Popyrin A.
7-56-3
Ruud C.[7]
Davidovich Fokina A.[27]
6-36-4
Jarry N.[22]
Seyboth Wild T.
6-717-56-3
Medvedev D.[3]
Norrie C.[30]
7-56-1
Arnaldi M.
Shapovalov D.
6-37-67
Sinner J.[2]
Griekspoor T.[25]
5-77-56-1
Hurkacz H.[8]
Korda S.[28]
7-656-756-3
Musetti L.[23]
Shelton B.[16]
6-47-65
R64
Alcaraz C.[1]
Carballes Baena R.
6-26-1
Monfils G.
Thompson J.[33]
6-736-16-2
Dimitrov G.[11]
Tabilo A.
6-757-656-2
Eubanks C.[31]
Evans D.
7-633-67-67
Cerundolo F.[20]
Ofner S.
7-626-726-1
Khachanov K.[15]
Djere L.
6-26-4
Struff J.[24]
Altmaier D.
6-36-3
Marozsan F.
Rune H.[6]
6-16-1
Ruud C.[7]
Van Assche L.
7-651-66-1
Davidovich Fokina A.[27]
Shang J.
6-37-5
Jarry N.[22]
Draper J.
7-654-67-62
Damm M.
Paul T.[13]
4-62-1
De Minaur A.[9]
Kwon S.
6-36-2
Shapovalov D.
Tsitsipas S.[10]
6-26-4
Machac T.
Rublev A.[5]
6-46-4
Oconnell C.
Tiafoe F.[21]
7-57-65
Hanfmann Y.
Mannarino A.[19]
3-67-616-4
Korda S.[28]
Bautista Agut R.
6-726-36-4
Hurkacz H.[8]
Shevchenko A.
6-46-726-3
Zverev A.[4]
Auger Aliassime F.
6-26-4
Popyrin A.
Lehecka J.[26]
6-46-4
Seyboth Wild T.
Fritz T.[12]
6-36-4
Humbert U.[14]
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-46-3
Koepfer D.
Baez S.[18]
6-36-2
Norrie C.[30]
Cobolli F.
7-56-746-2
Medvedev D.[3]
Fucsovics M.
6-46-2
Murray A.
Etcheverry T.[29]
7-606-3
Arnaldi M.
Bublik A.[17]
6-46-1
Griekspoor T.[25]
Michelsen A.
7-656-776-4
Sinner J.[2]
Vavassori A.
6-36-4
Shelton B.[16]
Landaluce M.
6-36-4
Musetti L.[23]
Safiullin R.
7-56-1
R128
Safiullin R.
Schwartzman D.
6-26-4
Bautista Agut R.
Nava E.
6-37-64
Damm M.
Zhang Z.
7-627-63
Michelsen A.
Klein L.
7-656-2
Fucsovics M.
Purcell M.
6-26-1
Cobolli F.
Nishioka Y.
1-66-16-4
Shevchenko A.
Galan D.
6-747-647-5
Carballes Baena R.
Vukic A.
7-626-3
Monfils G.
Lajovic D.
7-656-4
Landaluce M.
Munar J.
6-31-67-5
Tabilo A.
Nakashima B.
6-43-66-3
Hanfmann Y.
Ruusuvuori E.
6-44-66-4
Auger Aliassime F.
Walton A.
7-56-4
Evans D.
Sonego L.
1-66-36-4
Djere L.
Wong C.
7-57-63
Kwon S.
Muller A.
7-636-3
Altmaier D.
Mayot H.
6-27-5
Popyrin A.
Diaz Acosta F.
6-26-2
Marozsan F.
Kovacevic A.
6-36-2
Van Assche L.
Kotov P.
6-37-5
Shang J.
Kecmanovic M.
7-654-67-65
Draper J.
Daniel T.
6-36-2
Seyboth Wild T.
Borges N.
6-47-5
Koepfer D.
Giron M.
4-66-16-4
Machac T.
Blanch D.
6-46-2
Murray A.
Berrettini M.
4-66-36-4
Arnaldi M.
Fils A.
6-36-4
Shapovalov D.
Darderi L.
6-36-736-4
Oconnell C.
Kopriva V.
6-26-4
Vavassori A.
Cachin P.
6-26-2
Ofner S.
Nishikori K.
6-36-4
Van De Zandschulp B.
Hijikata R.
7-57-63