Mirra Andreeva vs Aryna Sabalenka — Indian Wells Final
Indian Wells · WTA · Final
#5WTA
2074ELO
1994Hard ELO
$5.6MYTD
$13MCAREER
19 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 16 March 2025 ·
hard
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$5.1MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Andreeva M.2-6 6-4 6-3
Sabalenka A.
Andreeva M.
2662
Sabalenka A.
6431
Mirra Andreeva defeated Aryna Sabalenka 2-6 6-4 6-3 in the Indian Wells final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 5–3, defending last year's round of 16. Mirra Andreeva narrowed the head-to-head to 5–4.
Key context
- Match story: Mirra Andreeva dropped the opening set before beating Aryna Sabalenka 2–6 6–4 6–3.
Head to head
3–5| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-05 | Indian Wells | F | hard | Mirra Andreeva | 2-6 6-4 6-3 |
| 2025-01-19 | Australian Open | R16 | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-1 6-2 |
| 2025-01-13 | Australian Open | R16 | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-1 6-2 |
| 2024-12-30 | Brisbane | SF | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2024-06-05 | Roland Garros | QF | clay | Mirra Andreeva | 6-7(5) 6-4 6-4 |
| 2024-05-27 | Roland Garros | QF | clay | Mirra Andreeva | 6-7 6-4 6-4 |
| 2024-04-22 | Madrid | QF | clay | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-1 6-4 |
| 2023-04-24 | Madrid | R16 | clay | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-3 6-1 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
62%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
52%
Service points won·Even
60%
63%
Return points won·Even
46%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
65%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.1
4.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.0
2.2
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (81 vs 91). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Clear edge
79
100
Break points saved·Dominant
47
89
Break points won·Even
100
98
Deciding sets·Slight edge
91
96
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
82
100
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Conditions
Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast