

Holger Rune defeated Alex De Minaur 6-4 4-6 7-5 in the Paris Masters quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #6, defending last year's quarter-final, but Holger Rune had arrived on a 3-match winning run. Holger Rune extended the head-to-head to 3–2.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-06-19 | Queen's Club | SF | grass | Alex De Minaur | 6-3 7-6(2) |
| 2023-02-27 | Acapulco | SF | hard | Alex De Minaur | 3-6 7-5 6-2 |
| 2022-10-24 | Basel | R32 | hard | Holger Rune | 6-2 7-5 |
| 2022-10-17 | Stockholm | SF | hard | Holger Rune | 4-6 7-6(1) 7-5 |
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (120 vs 166). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
De Minaur A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 72 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About