Alex De Minaur vs Holger RuneAcapulco Semi-final

Acapulco · ATP · Semi-final
#6ATP
1961ELO
1935Hard ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 27 February 2023
hard
#77ATP
1757ELO
1725Hard ELO
$0YTD
$16MCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
De Minaur A.
3-6 7-5 6-2
Rune H.
De Minaur A.
3762
Rune H.
6521

Alex De Minaur defeated Holger Rune 3-6 7-5 6-2 in the Acapulco semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #6. Alex De Minaur narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

13
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-10-28Paris MastersQFhardHolger Rune6-4 4-6 7-5
2023-06-19Queen's ClubSFgrassAlex De Minaur6-3 7-6(2)
2022-10-24BaselR32hardHolger Rune6-2 7-5
2022-10-17StockholmSFhardHolger Rune4-6 7-6(1) 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
De Minaur A.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Rune H.

Rune H.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs De Minaur A.

Serve advantage — De Minaur A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

De Minaur A.Rune H.
48
Serve
47
80
Return
58

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
54%
Service points won·Even
65%
66%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
36%
Break points saved·Even
61%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.2
5.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.5
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 186). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
95
91
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Clear edge
97
84
Deciding sets·Even
97
98
Tiebreaks·Even
99
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
7.5+211 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.5Hard Elo 1725
7.5Overall Elo 1961
ELO gap
2.5Overall Elo 1757
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.9
Surface form
6.5
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.7
Minutes 14d
8.5
4.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
77

De Minaur A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
30°CClear
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 57%