

Holger Rune defeated Alex De Minaur 6-2 7-5 in the Basel round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #5. Holger Rune extended the head-to-head to 3–2.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-28 | Paris Masters | QF | hard | Holger Rune | 6-4 4-6 7-5 |
| 2023-06-19 | Queen's Club | SF | grass | Alex De Minaur | 6-3 7-6 |
| 2023-02-27 | Acapulco | SF | hard | Alex De Minaur | 3-6 7-5 6-2 |
| 2022-10-17 | Stockholm | SF | hard | Holger Rune | 4-6 7-6 7-5 |
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About