Francisco Cerundolo vs Andrey RublevParis Masters Round of 32

Paris Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#21ATP
1931ELO
1880Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$11MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 28 October 2024
hard
#13ATP
1902ELO
1849Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
Cerundolo F.
7-6 7-6
Rublev A.
Cerundolo F.
78772
Rublev A.
66650

Francisco Cerundolo defeated Andrey Rublev 7-6 7-6 in the Paris Masters round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Francisco Cerundolo came in leading the head-to-head 3–1, defending last year's round of 16. Francisco Cerundolo extended the head-to-head to 4–1.

Key context

Head to head

31
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-19Australian OpenR32hardFrancisco Cerundolo6-3 7-6(4) 6-3
2024-07-22UmagSFclayFrancisco Cerundolo7-6(6) 6-4
2023-07-17BastadSFclayAndrey Rublev7-6(6) 6-7(7) 6-3
2022-07-18HamburgR16clayFrancisco Cerundolo6-4 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Cerundolo F.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Rublev A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Cerundolo F.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Cerundolo F.Rublev A.
13
Serve
55
67
Return
52

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
67%
Return points won·Even
40%
37%
Break points saved·Even
62%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.4
7.9
Double faults / match·Even
2.8
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (153 vs 150). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
88
89
Break points saved·Even
98
100
Break points won·Clear edge
86
72
Deciding sets·Even
94
97
Tiebreaks·Even
93
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.3+32 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Hard Elo 1849
5.3Overall Elo 1931
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1902
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.2
Surface form
5.2
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.3
Minutes 14d
5.5
7.0
3-set count
7.0
6.0
Prev. match
7.0
Country comfort
5.8
Context
6.0
Defending pts
8.5

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
97
93

Cerundolo F.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Rublev A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
14°COvercast
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 92%