Andrey Rublev vs Francisco CerundoloBastad Semi-final

Bastad · ATP · Semi-final
#13ATP
1902ELO
1872Clay ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 17 July 2023
clay
#21ATP
1931ELO
1868Clay ELO
$1.9MYTD
$11MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWL
Rublev A.
7-6 6-7 6-3
Cerundolo F.
Rublev A.
786762
Cerundolo F.
667931

Andrey Rublev defeated Francisco Cerundolo 7-6 6-7 6-3 in the Bastad semi-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Andrey Rublev came in ranked #13, defending last year's semi-final. Andrey Rublev claimed a first win over Francisco Cerundolo in five meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 4–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Andrey Rublev closed it out in three sets, 7–6 6–7 6–3.

Head to head

04
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-19Australian OpenR32hardFrancisco Cerundolo6-3 7-6(4) 6-3
2024-10-28Paris MastersR32hardFrancisco Cerundolo7-6(6) 7-6(5)
2024-07-22UmagSFclayFrancisco Cerundolo7-6(6) 6-4
2022-07-18HamburgR16clayFrancisco Cerundolo6-4 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Rublev A.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Cerundolo F.

Cerundolo F.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Serve advantage — Rublev A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Rublev A.Cerundolo F.
14
Serve
23
62
Return
100

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
76%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
67%
62%
Return points won·Even
38%
40%
Break points saved·Even
65%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.9
3.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.5
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
88
88
Break points saved·Even
100
98
Break points won·Clear edge
72
86
Deciding sets·Even
97
94
Tiebreaks·Even
92
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
4.7+4 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.3Clay Elo 1868
4.7Overall Elo 1902
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1931
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.9
Surface form
8.0
Fatigue & Travel
1.2
Minutes 14d
7.4
0.0
3-set count
4.0
6.0
Prev. match
6.0
3.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
8.5
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
94
97

Rublev A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Cerundolo F.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
16°CDrizzle
Wind 23 km/hHumidity 90%