Francisco Cerundolo vs Andrey RublevUmag Semi-final

Umag · ATP · Semi-final
#22ATP
1931ELO
1868Clay ELO
$1.9MYTD
$11MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 22 July 2024
clay
#16ATP
1902ELO
1872Clay ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
Cerundolo F.
7-6 6-4
Rublev A.
Cerundolo F.
7862
Rublev A.
6640

Francisco Cerundolo defeated Andrey Rublev 7-6 6-4 in the Umag semi-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Andrey Rublev came in ranked #16. Francisco Cerundolo extended the head-to-head to 4–1.

Key context

Head to head

31
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-19Australian OpenR32hardFrancisco Cerundolo6-3 7-6(4) 6-3
2024-10-28Paris MastersR32hardFrancisco Cerundolo7-6(6) 7-6(5)
2023-07-17BastadSFclayAndrey Rublev7-6(6) 6-7(7) 6-3
2022-07-18HamburgR16clayFrancisco Cerundolo6-4 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Cerundolo F.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Rublev A.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Cerundolo F.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Cerundolo F.Rublev A.
23
Serve
14
100
Return
62

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
67%
Return points won·Even
40%
37%
Break points saved·Even
62%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.5
7.9
Double faults / match·Even
2.8
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (153 vs 150). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
88
89
Break points saved·Even
98
100
Break points won·Clear edge
86
72
Deciding sets·Even
94
97
Tiebreaks·Even
93
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.3Clay Elo 1868
Surface ELO
4.7+4 Clay Elo edge
5.3Overall Elo 1931
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1902
4.6
H2H
5.4
6.1
Surface form
6.2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
7.2
Minutes 14d
8.6
7.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
98
95

Cerundolo F.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Rublev A.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast