Francisco Cerundolo vs Andrey RublevHamburg Round of 16

Hamburg · ATP · Round of 16
#22ATP
1931ELO
1868Clay ELO
$1.9MYTD
$11MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 18 July 2022
clay
#16ATP
1902ELO
1872Clay ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
Cerundolo F.
6-4 6-2
Rublev A.
Cerundolo F.
662
Rublev A.
420

Francisco Cerundolo defeated Andrey Rublev 6-4 6-2 in the Hamburg round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Andrey Rublev came in ranked #16, but Francisco Cerundolo had arrived on a 5-match winning run. Francisco Cerundolo extended the head-to-head to 4–1.

Key context

Head to head

31
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-19Australian OpenR32hardFrancisco Cerundolo6-3 7-6(4) 6-3
2024-10-28Paris MastersR32hardFrancisco Cerundolo7-6(6) 7-6(5)
2024-07-22UmagSFclayFrancisco Cerundolo7-6(6) 6-4
2023-07-17BastadSFclayAndrey Rublev7-6(6) 6-7(7) 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Cerundolo F.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Rublev A.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Cerundolo F.

Serve advantage — Rublev A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Cerundolo F.Rublev A.
26
Serve
13
99
Return
64

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
67%
Return points won·Even
40%
38%
Break points saved·Even
62%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.4
7.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.1
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
88
88
Break points saved·Even
98
100
Break points won·Clear edge
86
72
Deciding sets·Even
94
97
Tiebreaks·Even
93
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.3Clay Elo 1868
Surface ELO
4.7+4 Clay Elo edge
5.3Overall Elo 1931
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1902
5.0
H2H
5.0
8.4
Surface form
6.8
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.8
Minutes 14d
6.8
7.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
6.0
Country comfort
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
98
100

Cerundolo F.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Rublev A.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
25°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 42%