Aryna Sabalenka defeated Ekaterina Alexandrova 2-6 6-1 6-2 in the US Open round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 4–3, defending last year's final. Aryna Sabalenka extended the head-to-head to 5–3.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-17 | Berlin | R16 | grass | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2025-02-09 | Doha | R32 | hard | Ekaterina Alexandrova | 3-6 6-3 7-6(5) |
| 2023-07-03 | Wimbledon | R16 | grass | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-4 6-0 |
| 2022-06-06 | s Hertogenbosch | F | grass | Ekaterina Alexandrova | 7-5 6-0 |
| 2021-10-18 | Moscow | QF | hard | Ekaterina Alexandrova | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2019-01-28 | St. Petersburg | QF | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2018-12-31 | Shenzhen | R16 | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-3 6-3 |
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (165 vs 137). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Sabalenka A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Alexandrova E.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About