
Ekaterina Alexandrova defeated Aryna Sabalenka 6-3 6-4 in the Moscow quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 5–2. Ekaterina Alexandrova narrowed the head-to-head to 5–3.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-17 | Berlin | R16 | grass | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2025-02-09 | Doha | R32 | hard | Ekaterina Alexandrova | 3-6 6-3 7-6(5) |
| 2024-08-26 | US Open | R32 | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 2-6 6-1 6-2 |
| 2023-07-03 | Wimbledon | R16 | grass | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-4 6-0 |
| 2022-06-06 | s Hertogenbosch | F | grass | Ekaterina Alexandrova | 7-5 6-0 |
| 2019-01-28 | St. Petersburg | QF | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2018-12-31 | Shenzhen | R16 | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-3 6-3 |
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Alexandrova E.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Sabalenka A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About