Frances Tiafoe vs Lorenzo MusettiCincinnati Masters Round of 32

Cincinnati Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#19ATP
1918ELO
1861Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$18MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 12 August 2024
hard
#15ATP
1869ELO
1804Hard ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
Tiafoe F.
6-3 6-2
Musetti L.
Tiafoe F.
662
Musetti L.
320

Frances Tiafoe defeated Lorenzo Musetti 6-3 6-2 in the Cincinnati Masters round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Lorenzo Musetti came in ranked #15, leading the head-to-head 3–2, defending last year's round of 32. Frances Tiafoe narrowed the head-to-head to 3–3.

Key context

Head to head

23
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-26Roland GarrosQFclayLorenzo Musetti6-2 4-6 7-5 6-2
2023-06-12StuttgartQFgrassFrances Tiafoe6-7(6) 7-6(4) 6-2
2023-05-08Rome MastersR32clayLorenzo Musetti5-7 6-4 6-3
2023-01-02United CupFhardFrances Tiafoe6-2 0-0 RET
2021-03-15AcapulcoR16hardLorenzo Musetti2-6 6-3 7-6(1)

Serve vs return

This season
Tiafoe F.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Musetti L.

Musetti L.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Tiafoe F.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Tiafoe F.Musetti L.
38
Serve
54
37
Return
62

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
54%
Service points won·Even
65%
65%
Return points won·Even
36%
38%
Break points saved·Even
63%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.9
4.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (130 vs 155). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
83
89
Break points saved·Even
99
98
Break points won·Dominant
57
82
Deciding sets·Slight edge
92
99
Tiebreaks·Even
98
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.3+58 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.7Hard Elo 1804
4.0Overall Elo 1918
ELO gap
6.0Overall Elo 1869
10.0
H2H
0.0
5.0
Surface form
4.4
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.3
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
7.2
Country comfort
4.7
Surface transition
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
72

Tiafoe F.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 55 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
24°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 47%