Frances Tiafoe vs Lorenzo MusettiStuttgart Quarter-final

Stuttgart · ATP · Quarter-final
#17ATP
1918ELO
1823Grass ELO
$1.9MYTD
$18MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 12 June 2023
grass
#14ATP
1869ELO
1750Grass ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
Tiafoe F.
6-7 7-6 6-2
Musetti L.
Tiafoe F.
667762
Musetti L.
786421

Frances Tiafoe defeated Lorenzo Musetti 6-7 7-6 6-2 in the Stuttgart quarter-final on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Lorenzo Musetti came in ranked #14, leading the head-to-head 3–2, defending last year's round of 32. Frances Tiafoe narrowed the head-to-head to 3–3.

Key context

Head to head

23
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-26Roland GarrosQFclayLorenzo Musetti6-2 4-6 7-5 6-2
2024-08-12Cincinnati MastersR32hardFrances Tiafoe6-3 6-2
2023-05-08Rome MastersR32clayLorenzo Musetti5-7 6-4 6-3
2023-01-02United CupFhardFrances Tiafoe6-2 0-0 RET
2021-03-15AcapulcoR16hardLorenzo Musetti2-6 6-3 7-6(1)

Serve vs return

This season
Tiafoe F.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Musetti L.

Musetti L.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Tiafoe F.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
53%
Service points won·Even
66%
64%
Return points won·Even
36%
38%
Break points saved·Even
63%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.0
4.0
Double faults / match·Even
2.3
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (190 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
83
89
Break points saved·Even
99
98
Break points won·Dominant
57
82
Deciding sets·Slight edge
92
99
Tiebreaks·Even
98
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
3.7+73 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
6.3Grass Elo 1750
4.0Overall Elo 1918
ELO gap
6.0Overall Elo 1869
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.3
Surface form
Fatigue & Travel
4.8
Minutes 14d
4.9
0.0
3-set count
0.0
2.0
Prev. match
7.0
3.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
79

Tiafoe F.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast