Frances Tiafoe vs Lorenzo MusettiUnited Cup Final

United Cup · ATP · Final
#19ATP
1918ELO
1861Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$18MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
0 — 0
Sets
Retired
Monday, 2 January 2023
hard
#15ATP
1869ELO
1804Hard ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
Tiafoe F.
6-2 0-0
Musetti L.
Tiafoe F.
60
Musetti L.
20

Frances Tiafoe advanced when Lorenzo Musetti retired 6-2 0-0 in the United Cup final. Frances Tiafoe narrowed the head-to-head to 3–3.

Head to head

23
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-26Roland GarrosQFclayLorenzo Musetti6-2 4-6 7-5 6-2
2024-08-12Cincinnati MastersR32hardFrances Tiafoe6-3 6-2
2023-06-12StuttgartQFgrassFrances Tiafoe6-7(6) 7-6(4) 6-2
2023-05-08Rome MastersR32clayLorenzo Musetti5-7 6-4 6-3
2021-03-15AcapulcoR16hardLorenzo Musetti2-6 6-3 7-6(1)

Serve vs return

This season
Tiafoe F.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Musetti L.

Musetti L.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Tiafoe F.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Tiafoe F.Musetti L.
38
Serve
54
37
Return
62

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
53%
Service points won·Even
66%
64%
Return points won·Even
36%
38%
Break points saved·Even
63%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.0
4.1
Double faults / match·Even
2.4
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (190 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
83
89
Break points saved·Even
99
98
Break points won·Dominant
57
82
Deciding sets·Slight edge
92
99
Tiebreaks·Even
98
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 39 days (−0.7)
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 37 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
4.3+58 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.7Hard Elo 1804
4.0Overall Elo 1918
ELO gap
6.0Overall Elo 1869
0.0
H2H
10.0
4.9
Surface form
3.5
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
5.4
Country comfort
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
76

Tiafoe F.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 47%

Draw

Final
Fritz T.[3]
Berrettini M.[5]
7-647-66
Tiafoe F.
Musetti L.
6-20-0