Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances TiafoeAcapulco Round of 16

Acapulco · ATP · Round of 16
#15ATP
1869ELO
1804Hard ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 15 March 2021
hard
#19ATP
1918ELO
1861Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$18MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
Musetti L.
2-6 6-3 7-6
Tiafoe F.
Musetti L.
26772
Tiafoe F.
63611

Lorenzo Musetti defeated Frances Tiafoe 2-6 6-3 7-6 in the Acapulco round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Frances Tiafoe came in leading the head-to-head 3–2, defending last year's round of 32. Lorenzo Musetti narrowed the head-to-head to 3–3.

Key context

Head to head

23
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-26Roland GarrosQFclayLorenzo Musetti6-2 4-6 7-5 6-2
2024-08-12Cincinnati MastersR32hardFrances Tiafoe6-3 6-2
2023-06-12StuttgartQFgrassFrances Tiafoe6-7(6) 7-6(4) 6-2
2023-05-08Rome MastersR32clayLorenzo Musetti5-7 6-4 6-3
2023-01-02United CupFhardFrances Tiafoe6-2 0-0 RET

Serve vs return

This season
Musetti L.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Tiafoe F.

Tiafoe F.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Musetti L.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Musetti L.Tiafoe F.
54
Serve
38
62
Return
37

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
53%
Service points won·Even
64%
66%
Return points won·Even
38%
36%
Break points saved·Even
60%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.1
8.0
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
89
83
Break points saved·Even
98
99
Break points won·Dominant
82
57
Deciding sets·Slight edge
99
92
Tiebreaks·Even
95
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
79

Tiafoe F.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 49%