Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Bublik — Madrid Masters Round of 16

Madrid Masters · ATP · Round of 16
Daniil Medvedev
RUS3
Daniil Medvedev
#9ATP
1977ELO
1889Clay ELO
$2.5MYTD
$52MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 22 April 2024
clay
Alexander Bublik
KAZ17
Alexander Bublik
#11ATP
1889ELO
1822Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
Medvedev D.
7-6 6-4
Bublik A.
Medvedev D.
7762
Bublik A.
6340

Daniil Medvedev defeated Alexander Bublik 7-6 6-4 in the Madrid Masters round of 16 on clay. The result followed the form book — Daniil Medvedev came in ranked #9, leading the head-to-head 5–1, defending last year's round of 16. Daniil Medvedev extended the head-to-head to 6–1.

Key context

Head to head

5–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-16HalleFgrassAlexander Bublik6-3 7-6(4)
2023-02-27DubaiR16hardDaniil Medvedev6-4 6-2
2021-08-09Canada MastersR32hardDaniil Medvedev4-6 6-3 6-4
2021-07-24Tokyo OlympicsR64hardDaniil Medvedev6-4 7-6(8)
2021-05-31Roland GarrosR128clayDaniil Medvedev6-3 6-3 7-5
2016-09-19St. PetersburgR32carpetDaniil Medvedev6-4 6-0
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Medvedev D.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Bublik A.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Medvedev D.

Serve advantage — Medvedev D.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Medvedev D.Bublik A.
—
Serve
55
—
Return
51

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Medvedev D.Bublik A.
1st serve in·Even
63%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
77%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
47%
Service points won·Even
65%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
40%
35%
Break points saved·Even
61%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.5
11.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.3
5.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (157 vs 140). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Medvedev D.Bublik A.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
96
88
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Dominant
99
67
Deciding sets·Even
99
99
Tiebreaks·Even
99
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Medvedev D.
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Bublik A.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.4+67 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Clay Elo 1822
5.9Overall Elo 1977
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1889
10.0
H2H
0.0
7.2
Surface form
4.9
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Minutes 14d
9.4
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Medvedev D.Bublik A.
Freshness·Clear edge
85
70

Medvedev D.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Bublik A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
14°CClear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 33%
Final
Rublev A.[7]
Auger Aliassime F.
4-67-57-5
Semi-finals
Auger Aliassime F.
Lehecka J.[30]
3-3
Rublev A.[7]
Fritz T.[12]
6-46-3
Quarter-finals
Lehecka J.[30]
Medvedev D.[3]
6-40-0
Auger Aliassime F.
Sinner J.[1]
W/O
Fritz T.[12]
Cerundolo F.[21]
6-13-66-3
Rublev A.[7]
Alcaraz C.[2]
4-66-36-2
R16
Sinner J.[1]
Khachanov K.[16]
5-76-36-3
Auger Aliassime F.
Ruud C.[5]
6-47-5
Fritz T.[12]
Hurkacz H.[8]
7-626-4
Rublev A.[7]
Griekspoor T.[24]
6-26-4
Medvedev D.[3]
Bublik A.[17]
7-636-4
Lehecka J.[30]
Nadal R.
7-56-4
Alcaraz C.[2]
Struff J.[23]
6-36-757-64
Cerundolo F.[21]
Zverev A.[4]
6-36-4
R32
Sinner J.[1]
Kotov P.
6-27-5
Auger Aliassime F.
Mensik J.
6-11-0
Khachanov K.[16]
Cobolli F.
7-56-4
Ruud C.[5]
Norrie C.[29]
6-26-4
Medvedev D.[3]
Korda S.[25]
5-77-646-3
Bublik A.[17]
Shelton B.[14]
3-67-626-4
Nadal R.
Cachin P.
6-16-756-3
Lehecka J.[30]
Monteiro T.
6-47-67
Hurkacz H.[8]
Altmaier D.
6-47-62
Fritz T.[12]
Baez S.[18]
6-26-3
Cerundolo F.[21]
Paul T.[15]
6-776-46-2
Zverev A.[4]
Shapovalov D.
6-47-5
Rublev A.[7]
Davidovich Fokina A.[27]
7-6106-4
Struff J.[23]
Humbert U.[13]
7-56-4
Alcaraz C.[2]
Seyboth Wild T.
6-36-3
Griekspoor T.[24]
Rune H.[11]
6-44-66-3
R64
Khachanov K.[16]
Bautista Agut R.
3-66-37-5
Fritz T.[12]
Darderi L.
7-616-4
Paul T.[15]
Klein L.
6-756-16-4
Cerundolo F.[21]
Marozsan F.
6-27-65
Shapovalov D.
Etcheverry T.[26]
7-636-3
Humbert U.[13]
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-36-3
Struff J.[23]
Munar J.
6-17-5
Alcaraz C.[2]
Shevchenko A.
6-26-1
Zverev A.[4]
Coric B.
6-36-2
Ruud C.[5]
Kecmanovic M.
6-46-1
Lehecka J.[30]
Medjedovic H.
7-56-4
Seyboth Wild T.
Musetti L.[28]
6-46-4
Sinner J.[1]
Sonego L.
6-06-3
Kotov P.
Thompson J.[32]
5-76-47-5
Cobolli F.
Jarry N.[22]
6-33-66-3
Mensik J.
Dimitrov G.[9]
6-26-746-3
Auger Aliassime F.
Mannarino A.[19]
6-06-4
Medvedev D.[3]
Arnaldi M.
2-66-46-4
Korda S.[25]
Purcell M.
6-36-3
Bublik A.[17]
Carballes Baena R.
1-66-26-2
Shelton B.[14]
Machac T.
6-06-2
Nadal R.
De Minaur A.[10]
7-666-3
Cachin P.
Tiafoe F.[20]
7-613-66-4
Monteiro T.
Tsitsipas S.[6]
6-46-4
Altmaier D.
Fils A.[31]
6-26-3
Baez S.[18]
Van Assche L.
6-46-726-3
Rublev A.[7]
Bagnis F.
6-16-4
Davidovich Fokina A.[27]
Shang J.
7-56-3
Griekspoor T.[24]
Daniel T.
4-66-36-4
Rune H.[11]
Navone M.
5-77-626-4
Norrie C.[29]
Fonseca J.
6-16-4
Hurkacz H.[8]
Draper J.
6-17-5
R128
Kecmanovic M.
Zhang Z.
6-36-2
Arnaldi M.
Oconnell C.
6-46-1
Monteiro T.
Lajovic D.
6-46-3
Marozsan F.
Karatsev A.
7-667-62
Altmaier D.
Landaluce M.
6-17-5
Machac T.
Ruusuvuori E.
6-41-66-2
Kotov P.
Ramos A.
6-36-4
Sonego L.
Gasquet R.
6-27-5
Cobolli F.
Tabilo A.
5-76-46-4
Mensik J.
Hanfmann Y.
6-47-63
Auger Aliassime F.
Nishioka Y.
4-66-16-4
Fonseca J.
Michelsen A.
4-66-06-2
Purcell M.
Giron M.
4-66-47-62
Carballes Baena R.
Koepfer D.
6-13-67-65
Nadal R.
Blanch D.
6-16-0
Cachin P.
Ofner S.
6-36-3
Medjedovic H.
Kovacevic A.
4-67-56-4
Draper J.
Kokkinakis T.
6-33-67-5
Van Assche L.
Bergs Z.
6-46-706-1
Darderi L.
Monfils G.
6-46-2
Shapovalov D.
Diaz Acosta F.
6-43-66-3
Coric B.
Hassan B.
6-757-56-3
Bagnis F.
Nakashima B.
6-37-65
Shang J.
Moutet C.
6-796-27-610
Daniel T.
Vukic A.
6-26-716-1
Navone M.
Popyrin A.
7-56-2
Van De Zandschulp B.
Eubanks C.
6-36-3
Munar J.
Borges N.
7-56-4
Seyboth Wild T.
Safiullin R.
6-46-4
Shevchenko A.
Rinderknech A.
6-45-76-3
Klein L.
Llamas Ruiz P.
6-14-67-64
Bautista Agut R.
Galan D.
7-644-66-1