Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander BublikCanada Masters Round of 32

Canada Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#9ATP
1977ELO
1962Hard ELO
$2.5MYTD
$52MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 9 August 2021
hard
#11ATP
1889ELO
1837Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
Medvedev D.
4-6 6-3 6-4
Bublik A.
Medvedev D.
4662
Bublik A.
6341

Daniil Medvedev defeated Alexander Bublik 4-6 6-3 6-4 in the Canada Masters round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Daniil Medvedev came in ranked #9, leading the head-to-head 5–1. Daniil Medvedev extended the head-to-head to 6–1.

Key context

Head to head

51
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-16HalleFgrassAlexander Bublik6-3 7-6(4)
2024-04-22Madrid MastersR16clayDaniil Medvedev7-6(3) 6-4
2023-02-27DubaiR16hardDaniil Medvedev6-4 6-2
2021-07-24Tokyo OlympicsR64hardDaniil Medvedev6-4 7-6(8)
2021-05-31Roland GarrosR128clayDaniil Medvedev6-3 6-3 7-5
2016-09-19St. PetersburgR32carpetDaniil Medvedev6-4 6-0

Serve vs return

This season
Medvedev D.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Bublik A.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Medvedev D.

Serve advantage — Medvedev D.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Medvedev D.Bublik A.
47
Serve
65
94
Return
25

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
77%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
46%
Service points won·Even
65%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
40%
35%
Break points saved·Even
62%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.6
11.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.5
5.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (198 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
96
88
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Dominant
99
67
Deciding sets·Even
99
99
Tiebreaks·Even
99
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.5+126 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.5Hard Elo 1837
5.9Overall Elo 1977
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1889
10.0
H2H
0.0
7.9
Surface form
4.5
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
82
66

Medvedev D.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Bublik A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 88 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
29°CMainly clear
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 67%