Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Bublik — Tokyo Olympics Round of 64

Tokyo Olympics · ATP · Round of 64
Daniil Medvedev
RUS2
Daniil Medvedev
#9ATP
1977ELO
1962Hard ELO
$2.5MYTD
$52MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 24 July 2021
hard
Alexander Bublik
KAZ
Alexander Bublik
#11ATP
1889ELO
1837Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
Medvedev D.
6-4 7-6
Bublik A.
Medvedev D.
67102
Bublik A.
4680

Daniil Medvedev defeated Alexander Bublik 6-4 7-6 in the Tokyo Olympics round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Daniil Medvedev came in ranked #9, leading the head-to-head 5–1. Daniil Medvedev extended the head-to-head to 6–1.

Key context

Head to head

5–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-16HalleFgrassAlexander Bublik6-3 7-6(4)
2024-04-22Madrid MastersR16clayDaniil Medvedev7-6(3) 6-4
2023-02-27DubaiR16hardDaniil Medvedev6-4 6-2
2021-08-09Canada MastersR32hardDaniil Medvedev4-6 6-3 6-4
2021-05-31Roland GarrosR128clayDaniil Medvedev6-3 6-3 7-5
2016-09-19St. PetersburgR32carpetDaniil Medvedev6-4 6-0
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Medvedev D.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Bublik A.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Medvedev D.

Serve advantage — Medvedev D.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Medvedev D.Bublik A.
47
Serve
65
94
Return
25

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Medvedev D.Bublik A.
1st serve in·Even
63%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
77%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
46%
Service points won·Even
65%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
40%
35%
Break points saved·Even
62%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.6
11.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.5
5.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (198 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Medvedev D.Bublik A.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
96
88
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Dominant
99
67
Deciding sets·Even
99
99
Tiebreaks·Even
99
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Medvedev D.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 26 days (−0.3)
Bublik A.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.5+126 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.5Hard Elo 1837
5.9Overall Elo 1977
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1889
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.8
Surface form
6.4
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
6.5
3-set count
4.0
2.0
Prev. match
6.0
7.0
Surface transition
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Medvedev D.Bublik A.
Freshness·Clear edge
82
66

Medvedev D.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Bublik A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 88 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Draw

Bronze
Carreno Busta P.[6]
Djokovic N.[1]
6-46-766-3
Final
Zverev A.[4]
Khachanov K.[12]
6-36-1
Semi-finals
Khachanov K.[12]
Carreno Busta P.[6]
6-36-3
Zverev A.[4]
Djokovic N.[1]
1-66-36-1
Quarter-finals
Khachanov K.[12]
Humbert U.[14]
7-644-66-3
Zverev A.[4]
Chardy J.
6-46-1
Djokovic N.[1]
Nishikori K.
6-26-0
Carreno Busta P.[6]
Medvedev D.[2]
6-27-65
R16
Khachanov K.[12]
Schwartzman D.[8]
6-12-66-1
Chardy J.
Broady L.
7-634-66-1
Carreno Busta P.[6]
Koepfer D.
7-676-3
Zverev A.[4]
Basilashvili N.
6-47-65
Humbert U.[14]
Tsitsipas S.[3]
2-67-646-2
Medvedev D.[2]
Fognini F.[15]
6-23-66-2
Djokovic N.[1]
Davidovich Fokina A.[16]
6-36-1
Nishikori K.
Ivashka I.
7-676-0
R32
Davidovich Fokina A.[16]
Millman J.
6-46-746-3
Schwartzman D.[8]
Machac T.
6-47-5
Broady L.
Hurkacz H.[7]
7-53-66-3
Nishikori K.
Giron M.
7-653-66-1
Koepfer D.
Purcell M.
6-36-0
Ivashka I.
Kukushkin M.
6-746-36-3
Fognini F.[15]
Gerasimov E.
6-47-64
Humbert U.[14]
Kecmanovic M.
4-67-657-5
Basilashvili N.
Sonego L.[13]
6-43-66-4
Khachanov K.[12]
Duckworth J.
7-56-1
Chardy J.
Karatsev A.[11]
7-54-66-3
Carreno Busta P.[6]
Cilic M.
5-76-46-4
Zverev A.[4]
Galan D.
6-26-2
Tsitsipas S.[3]
Tiafoe F.
6-36-4
Medvedev D.[2]
Nagal S.
6-26-1
Djokovic N.[1]
Struff J.
6-46-3
R64
Broady L.
Cerundolo F.
7-56-746-2
Medvedev D.[2]
Bublik A.
6-47-68
Djokovic N.[1]
Dellien H.
6-26-2
Millman J.
Musetti L.
6-36-4
Tiafoe F.
Kwon S.
6-36-2
Struff J.
Monteiro T.
6-36-4
Nagal S.
Istomin D.
6-46-766-4
Gerasimov E.
Simon G.
4-66-36-4
Machac T.
Sousa J.
6-756-46-4
Kukushkin M.
Coria F.
7-647-5
Galan D.
Safwat M.
7-56-1
Koepfer D.
Bagnis F.
3-66-37-5
Kecmanovic M.
Majchrzak K.
6-46-2
Duckworth J.
Klein L.
5-76-37-64
Chardy J.
Barrios Vera T.
6-17-64
Basilashvili N.
Carballes Baena R.
6-36-2
Fognini F.[15]
Sugita Y.
6-46-3
Humbert U.[14]
Andujar P.
7-636-1
Sonego L.[13]
Daniel T.
4-67-667-63
Khachanov K.[12]
Nishioka Y.
3-66-16-2
Karatsev A.[11]
Paul T.
6-36-2
Ivashka I.
Monfils G.[10]
6-44-67-5
Purcell M.
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
6-47-62
Schwartzman D.[8]
Varillas J.
7-56-4
Hurkacz H.[7]
Saville L.
6-26-4
Nishikori K.
Rublev A.[5]
6-36-4
Tsitsipas S.[3]
Kohlschreiber P.
6-33-66-3
Giron M.
Gombos N.
7-643-66-2
Cilic M.
Menezes J.
6-757-57-67
Zverev A.[4]
Lu Y.
6-16-3
Davidovich Fokina A.[16]
Sousa P.
6-36-0
Carreno Busta P.[6]
Sandgren T.
7-56-2