Daria Kasatkina vs Jessica PegulaAdelaide Semi-final

Adelaide · WTA · Semi-final
#65WTA
1795ELO
1757Hard ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
Sets
Walkover
Monday, 8 January 2024
hard
#4WTA
2097ELO
2058Hard ELO
$2.8MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
Kasatkina D.
vs
Pegula J.

Daria Kasatkina advanced past Jessica Pegula via walkover in the Adelaide semi-final. Daria Kasatkina narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.

Head to head

13
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-09DohaR16hardJessica Pegula6-3 7-5
2024-04-01CharlestonSFclayDaria Kasatkina6-4 4-6 7-6(5)
2023-09-25TokyoQFhardJessica Pegula6-1 6-0
2021-05-10RomeR64clayJessica Pegula7-5 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Kasatkina D.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Pegula J.

Pegula J.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kasatkina D.Pegula J.
0
Serve
68
95
Return
73

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
60%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
42%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
54%
61%
Return points won·Even
48%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.7
3.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.3
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (121 vs 152). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
96
Break points saved·Clear edge
80
96
Break points won·Even
100
99
Deciding sets·Slight edge
93
100
Tiebreaks·Dominant
47
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
8.1
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.3Hard Elo 1757
Surface ELO
8.7+301 Hard Elo edge
1.4Overall Elo 1795
ELO gap
8.6Overall Elo 2097
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.8
Surface form
7.8
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.4
Minutes 14d
7.2
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.5
Country comfort
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
89
72

Kasatkina D.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Pegula J.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 62%