Grigor Dimitrov vs Holger RuneBrisbane Final

Brisbane · ATP · Final
#168ATP
1756ELO
1742Hard ELO
$276kYTD
$32MCAREER
35 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 1 January 2024
hard
#44ATP
1782ELO
1750Hard ELO
$0YTD
$16MCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW

Grigor Dimitrov defeated Holger Rune 7-6 6-4 in the Brisbane final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Holger Rune came in ranked #44, leading the head-to-head 2–1. Grigor Dimitrov narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 63 days (−1.2)
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 49 days (−1.0)
Form & Matchup
5.0Hard Elo 1742
Surface ELO
5.0+8 Hard Elo edge
4.8Overall Elo 1756
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1782
10.0
H2H
0.0
7.1
Surface form
5.6
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.4
Country comfort
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Dimitrov G.
7762
Rune H.
6540

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
1.27
SlowFast
Weather
23°CRain
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 90%

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-04-08Monte Carlo MastersR16clayHolger Rune7-6(9) 3-6 7-6(2)
2023-09-27BeijingR16hardGrigor Dimitrov6-3 7-5
2023-07-03WimbledonR16grassHolger Rune3-6 7-6(6) 7-6(4) 6-3

Statistics

Recent form
59%1st serve in+3%62%
77%1st serve points won+2%75%
50%2nd serve points won+3%53%
66%Service points won+1%67%
34%Return points won+4%38%
60%Break points saved+3%63%
9Aces / match+1.97.1
4.1Double faults / match+0.93.2

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw

Final
Dimitrov G.[2]
Rune H.[1]
7-656-4
Lehecka J.
Opelka R.
4-1