Grigor Dimitrov vs Alexander BublikParis Masters Round of 16

Paris Masters · ATP · Round of 16
#146ATP
1744ELO
1736Hard ELO
$307kYTD
$32MCAREER
35 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 30 October 2023
hard
#11ATP
1889ELO
1837Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
Dimitrov G.
6-2 6-2
Bublik A.
Dimitrov G.
662
Bublik A.
220

Grigor Dimitrov defeated Alexander Bublik 6-2 6-2 in the Paris Masters round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alexander Bublik came in ranked #11, leading the head-to-head 3–2, defending last year's round of 64. Grigor Dimitrov narrowed the head-to-head to 3–3.

Key context

Head to head

23
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-02-20MarseilleQFhardAlexander Bublik7-5 3-6 7-6(6)
2022-03-07Indian Wells MastersR32hardGrigor Dimitrov6-3 6-4
2021-08-16Cincinnati MastersR32hardGrigor Dimitrov6-3 7-5
2021-06-28WimbledonR64grassAlexander Bublik6-4 7-6(6) 7-6(4)
2019-09-23ChengduQFhardAlexander Bublik5-7 7-6(9) 7-6(3)

Serve vs return

This season
Dimitrov G.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Bublik A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Dimitrov G.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Dimitrov G.Bublik A.
Serve
65
Return
25

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
78%
77%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
46%
Service points won·Even
68%
65%
Return points won·Even
37%
35%
Break points saved·Even
64%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.9
11.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.5
5.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (167 vs 194). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
88
88
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Even
67
67
Deciding sets·Even
99
99
Tiebreaks·Even
96
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.7Hard Elo 1736
Surface ELO
6.3+101 Hard Elo edge
3.0Overall Elo 1744
ELO gap
7.0Overall Elo 1889
6.1
H2H
3.9
7.0
Surface form
4.8
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.8
Minutes 14d
5.8
7.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
5.6
Country comfort
5.3
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
69
74

Dimitrov G.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 54 games (7d) · Bublik A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
12°CDrizzle
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 92%