Alexander Bublik vs Grigor DimitrovMarseille Quarter-final

Marseille · ATP · Quarter-final
#11ATP
1889ELO
1837Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 20 February 2023
hard
#146ATP
1744ELO
1736Hard ELO
$307kYTD
$32MCAREER
35 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Bublik A.
7-5 3-6 7-6
Dimitrov G.
Bublik A.
73782
Dimitrov G.
56661

Alexander Bublik defeated Grigor Dimitrov 7-5 3-6 7-6 in the Marseille quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Alexander Bublik came in ranked #11. Alexander Bublik narrowed the head-to-head to 3–3.

Key context

Head to head

23
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-10-30Paris MastersR16hardGrigor Dimitrov6-2 6-2
2022-03-07Indian Wells MastersR32hardGrigor Dimitrov6-3 6-4
2021-08-16Cincinnati MastersR32hardGrigor Dimitrov6-3 7-5
2021-06-28WimbledonR64grassAlexander Bublik6-4 7-6(6) 7-6(4)
2019-09-23ChengduQFhardAlexander Bublik5-7 7-6(9) 7-6(3)

Serve vs return

This season
Bublik A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Dimitrov G.

Dimitrov G.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Bublik A.Dimitrov G.
65
Serve
25
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
78%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
52%
Service points won·Even
65%
68%
Return points won·Even
35%
37%
Break points saved·Even
64%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
11.0
7.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.8
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (194 vs 167). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
88
88
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Even
67
66
Deciding sets·Even
99
99
Tiebreaks·Even
96
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.3+101 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.7Hard Elo 1736
7.0Overall Elo 1889
ELO gap
3.0Overall Elo 1744
0.0
H2H
10.0
1.3
Surface form
7.1
0.0Lost last 10
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.5
Minutes 14d
6.0
7.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
5.2
Country comfort
5.5
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
70
64

Bublik A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d) · Dimitrov G.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 54 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
13°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 83%