Holger Rune vs Jannik Sinner — Monte Carlo Masters Semi-final

Monte Carlo Masters · ATP · Semi-final
Holger Rune
DEN6
Holger Rune
#77ATP
1757ELO
1729Clay ELO
$0YTD
$16MCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 10 April 2023
clay
Jannik Sinner
ITA7
Jannik Sinner
#1ATP
2320ELO
2216Clay ELO
$6.9MYTD
$65MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWWW
Rune H.
1-6 7-5 7-5
Sinner J.
Rune H.
1772
Sinner J.
6551

Holger Rune defeated Jannik Sinner 1-6 7-5 7-5 in the Monte Carlo Masters semi-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Jannik Sinner came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 3–1, defending last year's quarter-final. Holger Rune narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

1–3
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-01-13Australian OpenR16hardJannik Sinner6-3 3-6 6-3 6-2
2024-04-08Monte Carlo MastersQFclayJannik Sinner6-4 6-7(6) 6-3
2023-11-13Tour FinalsRRhardJannik Sinner6-2 5-7 6-4
2022-09-26SofiaSFhardHolger Rune5-7 6-4 5-2 RET
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Rune H.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Sinner J.

Sinner J.serving92% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Rune H.

Serve advantage — Sinner J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Rune H.Sinner J.
—
Serve
99
—
Return
91

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Rune H.Sinner J.
1st serve in·Even
61%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
79%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
58%
Service points won·Slight edge
66%
71%
Return points won·Slight edge
36%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
74%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.8
7.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.2
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (186 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Rune H.Sinner J.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
91
100
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Clear edge
84
100
Deciding sets·Even
98
100
Tiebreaks·Even
99
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Rune H.
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Sinner J.
8.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
0.0Clay Elo 1729
Surface ELO
10.0+487 Clay Elo edge
0.0Overall Elo 1757
ELO gap
10.0Overall Elo 2320
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.7
Surface form
9.3
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Rune H.Sinner J.
Freshness·
—
59

Sinner J.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 95 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
16°COvercast
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 62%
Final
Rublev A.[5]
Rune H.[6]
5-76-27-5
Semi-finals
Rune H.[6]
Sinner J.[7]
1-67-57-5
Rublev A.[5]
Fritz T.[8]
5-76-16-3
Quarter-finals
Rublev A.[5]
Struff J.
6-17-65
Sinner J.[7]
Musetti L.[16]
6-26-2
Rune H.[6]
Medvedev D.[3]
6-36-4
Fritz T.[8]
Tsitsipas S.[2]
6-26-4
R16
Musetti L.[16]
Djokovic N.[1]
4-67-56-4
Sinner J.[7]
Hurkacz H.[10]
3-67-666-1
Rune H.[6]
Berrettini M.
W/O
Struff J.
Ruud C.[4]
6-17-66
Tsitsipas S.[2]
Jarry N.
6-36-4
Medvedev D.[3]
Zverev A.[13]
3-67-57-67
Fritz T.[8]
Lehecka J.
4-66-46-1
Rublev A.[5]
Khachanov K.[9]
7-646-2
R32
Djokovic N.[1]
Gakhov I.
7-656-2
Sinner J.[7]
Schwartzman D.
6-03-1
Hurkacz H.[10]
Draper J.
6-36-737-5
Medvedev D.[3]
Sonego L.
6-36-2
Rune H.[6]
Thiem D.
6-26-4
Rublev A.[5]
Munar J.
4-66-26-2
Khachanov K.[9]
Ivashka I.
7-626-2
Struff J.
De Minaur A.[14]
6-36-2
Ruud C.[4]
Van De Zandschulp B.
7-57-61
Fritz T.[8]
Wawrinka S.
7-6106-2
Lehecka J.
Dimitrov G.
7-646-4
Tsitsipas S.[2]
Bonzi B.
4-1
Zverev A.[13]
Bautista Agut R.
6-46-4
Berrettini M.
Cerundolo F.
5-77-616-4
Jarry N.
Popyrin A.
3-67-56-4
Musetti L.[16]
Nardi L.
6-06-0
R64
Gakhov I.
Mcdonald M.
7-662-66-3
Nardi L.
Vacherot V.
7-57-5
Musetti L.[16]
Kecmanovic M.
7-616-0
Hurkacz H.[10]
Djere L.
6-757-657-65
Draper J.
Baez S.
6-37-5
Bautista Agut R.
Krajinovic F.
5-77-6106-1
Zverev A.[13]
Bublik A.
3-66-26-4
Munar J.
Huesler M.
7-634-66-4
Khachanov K.[9]
Davidovich Fokina A.
6-26-2
De Minaur A.[14]
Murray A.
6-16-3
Struff J.
Ramos A.
6-46-3
Van De Zandschulp B.
Fucsovics M.
3-67-626-1
Dimitrov G.
Shelton B.
6-13-66-3
Jarry N.
Coric B.[15]
6-26-3
Popyrin A.
Lajovic D.
7-616-3
Bonzi B.
Zapata Miralles B.
6-17-5
Sonego L.
Humbert U.
3-67-57-5
Lehecka J.
Ruusuvuori E.
6-17-5
Schwartzman D.
Goffin D.
6-46-2
Ivashka I.
Evans D.
2-66-26-3
Cerundolo F.
Norrie C.[11]
6-36-4
Berrettini M.
Cressy M.
6-46-2
Thiem D.
Gasquet R.
6-16-4
Wawrinka S.
Griekspoor T.
5-76-36-4