Jannik Sinner vs Holger Rune — Australian Open Round of 16

Australian Open · ATP · Round of 16
Jannik Sinner
ITA1
Jannik Sinner
#1ATP
2320ELO
2263Hard ELO
$6.9MYTD
$65MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWWW
3 — 1
Sets
Monday, 13 January 2025
hard
Holger Rune
DEN13
Holger Rune
#77ATP
1757ELO
1725Hard ELO
$0YTD
$16MCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
Sinner J.
6-3 3-6 6-3 6-2
Rune H.
Sinner J.
63663
Rune H.
36321

Jannik Sinner defeated Holger Rune 6-3 3-6 6-3 6-2 in the Australian Open round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Jannik Sinner came in ranked #1, defending the title. Jannik Sinner extended the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Jannik Sinner closed it out in four sets, 6–3 3–6 6–3 6–2.

Head to head

2–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-04-08Monte Carlo MastersQFclayJannik Sinner6-4 6-7(6) 6-3
2023-11-13Tour FinalsRRhardJannik Sinner6-2 5-7 6-4
2023-04-10Monte Carlo MastersSFclayHolger Rune1-6 7-5 7-5
2022-09-26SofiaSFhardHolger Rune5-7 6-4 5-2 RET
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Sinner J.serving94% hold

wins 74% of points on serve vs Rune H.

Rune H.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Sinner J.

Serve advantage — Sinner J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sinner J.Rune H.
100
Serve
47
100
Return
58

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Sinner J.Rune H.
1st serve in·Even
63%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
80%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
59%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
72%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
73%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
7.2
5.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.3
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (94 vs 51). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Sinner J.Rune H.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
100
91
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Clear edge
100
84
Deciding sets·Even
100
98
Tiebreaks·Even
100
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sinner J.
7.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 50 days (−0.7)
Rune H.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+539 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1725
10.0Overall Elo 2320
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1757
5.4
H2H
4.6
10.0
Surface form
6.7
10.018-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
9.2
Prev. match
9.0
Context
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Sinner J.Rune H.
Freshness·
53
—

Sinner J.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 95 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
23°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 66%
Final
Sinner J.[1]
Zverev A.[2]
6-37-646-3
Semi-finals
Zverev A.[2]
Djokovic N.[7]
7-650-0
Sinner J.[1]
Shelton B.[21]
7-626-26-2
Quarter-finals
Sinner J.[1]
De Minaur A.[8]
6-36-26-1
Shelton B.[21]
Sonego L.
6-47-54-67-64
Djokovic N.[7]
Alcaraz C.[3]
4-66-46-36-4
Zverev A.[2]
Paul T.[12]
7-617-602-66-1
R16
Shelton B.[21]
Monfils G.
7-636-737-621-0
Alcaraz C.[3]
Draper J.[15]
7-56-10-0
Sonego L.
Tien L.
6-36-23-66-1
Zverev A.[2]
Humbert U.[14]
6-12-66-36-2
Sinner J.[1]
Rune H.[13]
6-33-66-36-2
Paul T.[12]
Davidovich Fokina A.
6-16-16-1
De Minaur A.[8]
Michelsen A.
6-07-656-3
Djokovic N.[7]
Lehecka J.[24]
6-36-47-64
R32
Humbert U.[14]
Fils A.[20]
4-67-56-41-0
Paul T.[12]
Carballes Baena R.
7-606-26-0
Lehecka J.[24]
Bonzi B.
6-26-36-3
Michelsen A.
Khachanov K.[19]
6-37-656-2
Davidovich Fokina A.
Mensik J.
3-64-67-676-46-2
Draper J.[15]
Vukic A.
6-42-65-77-657-68
Shelton B.[21]
Musetti L.[16]
6-33-66-47-65
Sinner J.[1]
Giron M.
6-36-46-2
Monfils G.
Fritz T.[4]
3-67-57-616-4
Tien L.
Moutet C.
7-6106-36-3
Rune H.[13]
Kecmanovic M.
6-756-34-66-46-4
De Minaur A.[8]
Cerundolo F.[31]
5-77-636-36-3
Djokovic N.[7]
Machac T.[26]
6-16-46-4
Zverev A.[2]
Fearnley J.
6-36-46-4
Sonego L.
Marozsan F.
6-737-666-16-2
Alcaraz C.[3]
Borges N.
6-26-46-736-2
R64
Carballes Baena R.
Duckworth J.
6-46-27-5
Lehecka J.[24]
Gaston H.
6-33-1
Cerundolo F.[31]
Diaz Acosta F.
6-21-0
Bonzi B.
Passaro F.
6-26-43-66-4
Rune H.[13]
Berrettini M.
7-632-66-37-66
De Minaur A.[8]
Boyer T.
6-26-46-3
Khachanov K.[19]
Diallo G.
7-644-66-36-3
Fritz T.[4]
Garin C.
6-26-16-0
Moutet C.
Krueger M.
4-66-47-636-4
Fils A.[20]
Halys Q.
6-24-67-627-5
Tien L.
Medvedev D.[5]
6-37-646-781-67-67
Zverev A.[2]
Martinez P.
6-16-46-1
Monfils G.
Altmaier D.
7-56-37-63
Davidovich Fokina A.
Auger Aliassime F.[29]
6-776-756-46-16-3
Marozsan F.
Tiafoe F.[17]
6-736-43-66-46-1
Vukic A.
Korda S.[22]
6-43-62-66-37-5
Paul T.[12]
Nishikori K.
6-736-06-36-1
Michelsen A.
Mccabe J.
7-56-37-64
Sinner J.[1]
Schoolkate T.
4-66-46-16-3
Draper J.[15]
Kokkinakis T.
6-736-33-67-56-3
Kecmanovic M.
Hurkacz H.[18]
6-46-46-2
Humbert U.[14]
Habib H.
6-36-46-4
Alcaraz C.[3]
Nishioka Y.
6-06-16-4
Borges N.
Thompson J.[27]
6-36-26-4
Machac T.[26]
Opelka R.
3-67-616-757-646-4
Sonego L.
Fonseca J.
6-766-36-13-66-3
Djokovic N.[7]
Faria J.
6-16-746-36-2
Fearnley J.
Cazaux A.
3-67-56-26-3
Shelton B.[21]
Carreno Busta P.
6-36-36-746-4
Mensik J.
Ruud C.[6]
6-23-66-16-4
Musetti L.[16]
Shapovalov D.
7-637-666-2
Giron M.
Etcheverry T.
7-53-67-53-66-4
R128
Faria J.
Kotov P.
6-16-17-5
Davidovich Fokina A.
Shang J.
7-615-2
Passaro F.
Dimitrov G.[10]
7-52-1
Martinez P.
Darderi L.
6-34-1
Halys Q.
Walton A.
4-64-66-47-647-5
Nishioka Y.
Dougaz A.
3-66-47-636-3
Khachanov K.[19]
Mannarino A.
7-656-36-3
Altmaier D.
Comesana F.
6-23-67-644-66-4
Fils A.[20]
Virtanen O.
3-67-646-46-4
De Minaur A.[8]
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-17-56-4
Hurkacz H.[18]
Griekspoor T.
7-56-46-4
Fritz T.[4]
Brooksby J.
6-26-06-3
Lehecka J.[24]
Tu L.
6-13-66-37-61
Fearnley J.
Kyrgios N.
7-636-37-62
Shelton B.[21]
Nakashima B.
7-637-57-5
Carballes Baena R.
Tabilo A.[23]
1-66-26-37-61
Thompson J.[27]
Koepfer D.
7-636-44-66-3
Kokkinakis T.
Safiullin R.
3-66-36-37-65
Rune H.[13]
Zhang Z.
4-66-36-43-66-4
Machac T.[26]
Nagal S.
6-36-17-5
Borges N.
Muller A.
6-726-36-27-5
Giron M.
Hanfmann Y.
2-67-56-17-5
Mensik J.
Basilashvili N.
6-16-736-36-3
Kecmanovic M.
Lajovic D.
7-53-66-33-66-3
Nishikori K.
Monteiro T.
4-66-747-56-26-3
Shapovalov D.
Bautista Agut R.
3-66-46-47-68
Cerundolo F.[31]
Bublik A.
7-616-36-2
Michelsen A.
Tsitsipas S.[11]
7-56-32-66-4
Paul T.[12]
Oconnell C.
6-23-66-16-757-5
Marozsan F.
Seyboth Wild T.
6-36-757-55-77-5
Draper J.[15]
Navone M.
4-66-33-66-36-2
Musetti L.[16]
Arnaldi M.
7-644-67-656-3
Duckworth J.
Stricker D.
6-26-46-2
Korda S.[22]
Klein L.
6-30-66-37-66
Vukic A.
Dzumhur D.
6-736-03-66-36-4
Medvedev D.[5]
Samrej K.
6-24-63-66-16-2
Zverev A.[2]
Pouille L.
6-46-46-4
Garin C.
Coric B.
7-56-16-2
Carreno Busta P.
Majchrzak K.
6-46-46-3
Habib H.
Yunchaokete B.
7-646-47-66
Diaz Acosta F.
Bergs Z.
6-756-41-66-36-4
Opelka R.
Onclin G.
3-67-646-36-2
Monfils G.
Mpetshi Perricard G.[30]
7-676-36-766-756-4
Berrettini M.
Norrie C.
6-746-46-16-3
Bonzi B.
Goffin D.
6-16-27-67
Fonseca J.
Rublev A.[9]
7-616-37-65
Djokovic N.[7]
Basavareddy N.
4-66-36-46-2
Cazaux A.
Baez S.[28]
6-35-73-66-06-3
Sinner J.[1]
Jarry N.
7-627-656-1
Boyer T.
Coria F.
6-36-734-67-56-1
Gaston H.
Jasika O.
6-23-66-26-2
Mccabe J.
Landaluce M.
6-46-36-4
Moutet C.
Popyrin A.[25]
4-66-36-46-4
Tien L.
Ugo Carabelli C.
4-67-636-35-76-4
Sonego L.
Wawrinka S.
6-45-77-57-5
Auger Aliassime F.[29]
Struff J.
6-36-04-66-1
Alcaraz C.[3]
Shevchenko A.
6-17-56-1
Diallo G.
Nardi L.
6-717-635-76-16-2
Schoolkate T.
Daniel T.
6-767-646-16-4
Ruud C.[6]
Munar J.
6-31-67-52-66-1
Tiafoe F.[17]
Rinderknech A.
7-626-34-66-746-3
Etcheverry T.
Cobolli F.[32]
6-786-37-56-1
Krueger M.
Hijikata R.
6-46-46-3
Humbert U.[14]
Gigante M.
7-657-56-4