Brandon Nakashima vs David GoffinDanderyd CH Quarter-final

Danderyd CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#31ATP
1839ELO
1788Hard ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 13 November 2023
hard
#241ATP
1665ELO
1626Hard ELO
35 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLLWW
Nakashima B.
6-2 7-6
Goffin D.
Nakashima B.
6772
Goffin D.
2620

Brandon Nakashima defeated David Goffin 6-2 7-6 in the Danderyd CH quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Brandon Nakashima came in ranked #31, leading the head-to-head 3–0. Brandon Nakashima extended the head-to-head to 4–0.

Key context

Head to head

30
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-19Miami MastersR32hardBrandon Nakashima6-3 6-7(5) 6-3
2025-02-24AcapulcoQFhardBrandon Nakashima7-6(4) 6-2
2022-10-24BaselR32hardBrandon Nakashima2-6 7-6(4) 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Nakashima B.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Goffin D.

Goffin D.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Nakashima B.Goffin D.
61
Serve
12
23
Return
43

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
68%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
35%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.5
4.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.2
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 184). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
56
82
Break points saved·Even
99
96
Break points won·Dominant
13
64
Deciding sets·Dominant
64
96
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
89
81

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.8+162 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.2Hard Elo 1626
6.8Overall Elo 1839
ELO gap
3.2Overall Elo 1665
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.0
Surface form
6.0
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.5
Minutes 14d
2.7
7.0
3-set count
0.0
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
86
100

Nakashima B.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Goffin D.: 20 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast