Brandon Nakashima vs David GoffinMiami Masters Round of 32

Miami Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#31ATP
1839ELO
1788Hard ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 19 March 2025
hard
#241ATP
1665ELO
1626Hard ELO
35 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLLWW
Nakashima B.
6-3 6-7 6-3
Goffin D.
Nakashima B.
66562
Goffin D.
37731

Brandon Nakashima defeated David Goffin 6-3 6-7 6-3 in the Miami Masters round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Brandon Nakashima came in ranked #31, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's round of 128. Brandon Nakashima extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-24AcapulcoQFhardBrandon Nakashima7-6(4) 6-2
2022-10-24BaselR32hardBrandon Nakashima2-6 7-6(4) 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Nakashima B.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Goffin D.

Goffin D.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Serve advantage — Nakashima B.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Nakashima B.Goffin D.
61
Serve
12
23
Return
43

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
56%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
75%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
68%
60%
Return points won·Even
35%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
52%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.9
4.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.0
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (82 vs 48). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
56
82
Break points saved·Even
99
96
Break points won·Dominant
13
64
Deciding sets·Dominant
64
96
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
89
81

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.9
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.8+162 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.2Hard Elo 1626
6.8Overall Elo 1839
ELO gap
3.2Overall Elo 1665
10.0
H2H
0.0
7.0
Surface form
3.2
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.4
Minutes 14d
6.6
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
6.9
Country comfort
5.7
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
86
100

Nakashima B.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Goffin D.: 20 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
25°CClear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 48%