Brandon Nakashima vs David GoffinAcapulco Quarter-final

Acapulco · ATP · Quarter-final
#31ATP
1839ELO
1788Hard ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 24 February 2025
hard
#241ATP
1665ELO
1626Hard ELO
35 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLLWW
Nakashima B.
7-6 6-2
Goffin D.
Nakashima B.
7762
Goffin D.
6420

Brandon Nakashima defeated David Goffin 7-6 6-2 in the Acapulco quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Brandon Nakashima came in ranked #31, leading the head-to-head 2–0. Brandon Nakashima extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-19Miami MastersR32hardBrandon Nakashima6-3 6-7(5) 6-3
2022-10-24BaselR32hardBrandon Nakashima2-6 7-6(4) 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Nakashima B.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Goffin D.

Goffin D.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Nakashima B.Goffin D.
61
Serve
12
23
Return
43

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
56%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
75%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
68%
60%
Return points won·Even
34%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
52%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.9
4.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.0
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (82 vs 48). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
56
82
Break points saved·Even
99
96
Break points won·Dominant
13
64
Deciding sets·Dominant
64
96
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
89
81

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.8+162 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.2Hard Elo 1626
6.8Overall Elo 1839
ELO gap
3.2Overall Elo 1665
10.0
H2H
0.0
3.4
Surface form
1.6
Win streak
0.0Lost last 6
Fatigue & Travel
6.9
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
86
100

Nakashima B.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Goffin D.: 20 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
30°COvercast
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 67%