Brandon Nakashima vs David GoffinBasel Round of 32

Basel · ATP · Round of 32
#31ATP
1839ELO
1788Hard ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 24 October 2022
hard
#241ATP
1665ELO
1626Hard ELO
35 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLLWW
Nakashima B.
2-6 7-6 6-4
Goffin D.
Nakashima B.
27762
Goffin D.
66441

Brandon Nakashima defeated David Goffin 2-6 7-6 6-4 in the Basel round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Brandon Nakashima came in ranked #31, leading the head-to-head 2–0. Brandon Nakashima extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-19Miami MastersR32hardBrandon Nakashima6-3 6-7(5) 6-3
2025-02-24AcapulcoQFhardBrandon Nakashima7-6(4) 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Nakashima B.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Goffin D.

Goffin D.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Nakashima B.Goffin D.
61
Serve
12
23
Return
43

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
68%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
35%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.5
4.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.2
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
56
82
Break points saved·Even
99
96
Break points won·Dominant
13
64
Deciding sets·Dominant
64
96
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
89
81

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.8+162 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.2Hard Elo 1626
6.8Overall Elo 1839
ELO gap
3.2Overall Elo 1665
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.6
Surface form
6.2
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.7
Minutes 14d
5.8
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
84
100

Nakashima B.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Goffin D.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast